Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on April 16, reflecting trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability and aligning with forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS that projected highs of 15-17°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering settled, partly cloudy conditions over Western Europe. Mild spring-like advection of continental air, combined with light southerly winds and daytime cloud cover, capped warming potential consistent with climatological April norms around 13°C average highs. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare data revisions from quality control processes or instrument recalibrations, though such occurrences are minimal in automated meteorological networks; final KNMI daily bulletin expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 16?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$64,553 Vol.
$64,553 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$64,553 Vol.
$64,553 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on April 16, reflecting trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability and aligning with forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS that projected highs of 15-17°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering settled, partly cloudy conditions over Western Europe. Mild spring-like advection of continental air, combined with light southerly winds and daytime cloud cover, capped warming potential consistent with climatological April norms around 13°C average highs. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare data revisions from quality control processes or instrument recalibrations, though such occurrences are minimal in automated meteorological networks; final KNMI daily bulletin expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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