Grok 4.20 released on...?
$138,081 Vol.
No release by January 31 23.8%
January 20 7.4%
January 21 7.4%
January 16 7.2%
January 10
$3,015 Vol.
3%
January 10
$3,015 Vol.
3%
January 11
$461 Vol.
2%
January 11
$461 Vol.
2%
January 12
$940 Vol.
1%
January 12
$940 Vol.
1%
January 13
$384 Vol.
2%
January 13
$384 Vol.
2%
January 14
$422 Vol.
2%
January 14
$422 Vol.
2%
January 15
$715 Vol.
4%
January 15
$715 Vol.
4%
January 16
$2,126 Vol.
7%
January 16
$2,126 Vol.
7%
January 17
$326 Vol.
5%
January 17
$326 Vol.
5%
January 18
$1,687 Vol.
5%
January 18
$1,687 Vol.
5%
January 19
$1,784 Vol.
5%
January 19
$1,784 Vol.
5%
January 20
$1,684 Vol.
7%
January 20
$1,684 Vol.
7%
January 21
$1,322 Vol.
7%
January 21
$1,322 Vol.
7%
January 22
$588 Vol.
2%
January 22
$588 Vol.
2%
January 23
$2,207 Vol.
5%
January 23
$2,207 Vol.
5%
January 24
$785 Vol.
2%
January 24
$785 Vol.
2%
January 25
$480 Vol.
3%
January 25
$480 Vol.
3%
January 26
$898 Vol.
3%
January 26
$898 Vol.
3%
January 27
$433 Vol.
4%
January 27
$433 Vol.
4%
January 28
$323 Vol.
4%
January 28
$323 Vol.
4%
January 29
$397 Vol.
3%
January 29
$397 Vol.
3%
January 30
$577 Vol.
6%
January 30
$577 Vol.
6%
January 31
$488 Vol.
9%
January 31
$488 Vol.
9%
No release by January 31
$8,871 Vol.
24%
No release by January 31
$8,871 Vol.
24%
Rules
This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Dec 29, 2025, 9:46 PM UTC
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$138,081 Vol.
Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by January 31 23.8%
January 20 7.4%
January 21 7.4%
January 16 7.2%
January 10
3%
January 11
2%
January 12
1%
January 13
2%
January 14
2%
January 15
4%
January 16
7%
January 17
5%
January 18
5%
January 19
5%
January 20
7%
January 21
7%
January 22
2%
January 23
5%
January 24
2%
January 25
3%
January 26
3%
January 27
4%
January 28
4%
January 29
3%
January 30
6%
January 31
9%
No release by January 31
24%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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