Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% implied probability to win Group C, driven by their five-time champion pedigree, deep attacking talent including Vinícius Júnior and Raphinha, and favorable matchups against lower-ranked opponents despite Rodrygo's season-ending ACL tear in March that rules him out of the tournament. Morocco's 18.5% reflects their momentum from the 2022 semifinal run, recent 2-1 friendly victory over Paraguay, and new coach Mohamed Ouahbi's focus on World Cup preparation over AFCON distractions, positioning them as realistic challengers in the Brazil opener on June 14. Scotland's 4.3% stems from gritty qualification via playoffs, while Haiti at 0.3% faces steep barriers as a debutant in this tough group, with top two advancing from the June 13-24 group stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil 77%
Morocco 19%
Scotland 4.3%
Haiti <1%
$204,770 Vol.
$204,770 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
19%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
<1%
Brazil 77%
Morocco 19%
Scotland 4.3%
Haiti <1%
$204,770 Vol.
$204,770 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
19%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% implied probability to win Group C, driven by their five-time champion pedigree, deep attacking talent including Vinícius Júnior and Raphinha, and favorable matchups against lower-ranked opponents despite Rodrygo's season-ending ACL tear in March that rules him out of the tournament. Morocco's 18.5% reflects their momentum from the 2022 semifinal run, recent 2-1 friendly victory over Paraguay, and new coach Mohamed Ouahbi's focus on World Cup preparation over AFCON distractions, positioning them as realistic challengers in the Brazil opener on June 14. Scotland's 4.3% stems from gritty qualification via playoffs, while Haiti at 0.3% faces steep barriers as a debutant in this tough group, with top two advancing from the June 13-24 group stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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