Andorra's perfect 4-0 head-to-head record over San Marino, including a 3-0 win in October 2024, anchors trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the visitors in this international friendly. Both sides arrive off recent friendly defeats—San Marino's 1-2 home loss to Faroe Islands on March 28 after leading, and Andorra's 0-2 setback to Montenegro on March 27—extending winless streaks since late 2024 amid experimental squads with no fresh injury concerns. San Marino's home advantage at Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle supports the draw at 24.5% and a narrow 17.5% upset chance, though Andorra's marginally superior player quality tempers expectations in this closely contested matchup between UEFA's minnows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If San Marino wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If San Marino wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Andorra's perfect 4-0 head-to-head record over San Marino, including a 3-0 win in October 2024, anchors trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the visitors in this international friendly. Both sides arrive off recent friendly defeats—San Marino's 1-2 home loss to Faroe Islands on March 28 after leading, and Andorra's 0-2 setback to Montenegro on March 27—extending winless streaks since late 2024 amid experimental squads with no fresh injury concerns. San Marino's home advantage at Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle supports the draw at 24.5% and a narrow 17.5% upset chance, though Andorra's marginally superior player quality tempers expectations in this closely contested matchup between UEFA's minnows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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