Trader consensus favors Japan at 42.5% implied probability in this competitive World Cup warm-up friendly at Hampden Park, driven by their dominant AFC qualification as Asia's first entrants and recent form with seven wins in 10 matches, including against European opposition, despite mounting injuries like Tomiyasu's withdrawal three days ago, Kubo, Endo post-ankle surgery, Minamino, and Itakura sidelined. Scotland's 29.5% reflects home advantage and returns of Patterson, Gilmour, McTominay, and McGinn from injury, but absences of Doak, Hickey, Shankland, and rusty Hanley since February limit firepower; draw pricing at 27.5% fits low-scoring head-to-head history (Japan one win, two stalemates) and Scotland's prolonged home winless streak. Recent team sheets signal experimentation with prospects like Curtis.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If Scotland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Scotland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Japan at 42.5% implied probability in this competitive World Cup warm-up friendly at Hampden Park, driven by their dominant AFC qualification as Asia's first entrants and recent form with seven wins in 10 matches, including against European opposition, despite mounting injuries like Tomiyasu's withdrawal three days ago, Kubo, Endo post-ankle surgery, Minamino, and Itakura sidelined. Scotland's 29.5% reflects home advantage and returns of Patterson, Gilmour, McTominay, and McGinn from injury, but absences of Doak, Hickey, Shankland, and rusty Hanley since February limit firepower; draw pricing at 27.5% fits low-scoring head-to-head history (Japan one win, two stalemates) and Scotland's prolonged home winless streak. Recent team sheets signal experimentation with prospects like Curtis.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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