Trader consensus slightly favors Belgium at 46.5% implied probability for the March 31 international friendly at Chicago's Soldier Field neutral venue, driven by their ninth-place FIFA ranking versus Mexico's 16th, robust recent form including a Nations League playoff aggregate win over Ukraine (4-3), a 7-0 World Cup qualifier rout of Liechtenstein, and a 5-2 friendly victory against the USMNT. Mexico's 28.5% reflects a gritty 0-0 draw versus Portugal on March 28 amid a short three-day turnaround with transcontinental travel, compounded by injuries sidelining up to 12 key players like Santiago Giménez, Edson Álvarez, and Luis Chávez. The 26% draw pricing underscores a competitive matchup, with Belgium's De Bruyne and Lukaku returning while Mexico leans on depth. Historical head-to-head tilts toward Belgium, including their 3-2 World Cup 2018 win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Belgium at 46.5% implied probability for the March 31 international friendly at Chicago's Soldier Field neutral venue, driven by their ninth-place FIFA ranking versus Mexico's 16th, robust recent form including a Nations League playoff aggregate win over Ukraine (4-3), a 7-0 World Cup qualifier rout of Liechtenstein, and a 5-2 friendly victory against the USMNT. Mexico's 28.5% reflects a gritty 0-0 draw versus Portugal on March 28 amid a short three-day turnaround with transcontinental travel, compounded by injuries sidelining up to 12 key players like Santiago Giménez, Edson Álvarez, and Luis Chávez. The 26% draw pricing underscores a competitive matchup, with Belgium's De Bruyne and Lukaku returning while Mexico leans on depth. Historical head-to-head tilts toward Belgium, including their 3-2 World Cup 2018 win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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