Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Iceland victory at 58% implied probability in this international friendly at Toronto's BMO Field, driven by their superior FIFA ranking (74th versus Haiti's 83rd) and squad depth from European leagues, outweighing Haiti's recent momentum with three wins in five matches—including key CONCACAF World Cup qualifying triumphs over Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Iceland's mixed form features heavy losses to Mexico (0-4) and Ukraine (0-2) but a draw against France and win over Azerbaijan, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. No major injuries reported beyond Haiti's defender Carlens Arcus; the match shifted to closed doors three days ago due to low ticket sales, neutralizing any home crowd edge for the Haitian diaspora. A draw at 21% underscores the competitive matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Iceland victory at 58% implied probability in this international friendly at Toronto's BMO Field, driven by their superior FIFA ranking (74th versus Haiti's 83rd) and squad depth from European leagues, outweighing Haiti's recent momentum with three wins in five matches—including key CONCACAF World Cup qualifying triumphs over Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Iceland's mixed form features heavy losses to Mexico (0-4) and Ukraine (0-2) but a draw against France and win over Azerbaijan, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. No major injuries reported beyond Haiti's defender Carlens Arcus; the match shifted to closed doors three days ago due to low ticket sales, neutralizing any home crowd edge for the Haitian diaspora. A draw at 21% underscores the competitive matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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