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Elvis

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Elvis

Ended: Jun 27, 2022

Mar 30

Mar 30

Mar 30

Apr 6

Ended: Jun 27, 2022

Mar 30

Mar 30

Mar 30

Apr 6

$12,213 Vol.

Jun 27, 2022
Polymarket

$12,213 Vol.

Polymarket
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More than $38 million gross on opening weekend?

$5,024 Vol.

No

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More than $45 million gross in its opening weekend?

$7,190 Vol.

No

'Elvis' is a 2022 biographical musical drama film directed by Baz Luhrmann chronicling the life and career of singer and actor Elvis Presley, from his early days as a child to becoming a rock and roll star and movie star, as well as his complex relationship with his manager Colonel Tom Parker. It premiered at several festivals and is scheduled to be theatrically released by Warner Bros. Pictures in the United States on June 24, 2022. This is a market on how much 'Elvis' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt3704428/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (June 24-26) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Elvis' grosses more than $38,000,000 on its opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of this film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend. If there is no final data available by July 3, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. 'Elvis' is a 2022 biographical musical drama film directed by Baz Luhrmann chronicling the life and career of singer and actor Elvis Presley, from his early days as a child to becoming a rock and roll star and movie star, as well as his complex relationship with his manager Colonel Tom Parker. It premiered at several festivals and is scheduled to be theatrically released by Warner Bros. Pictures in the United States on June 24, 2022. This is a market on how much 'Elvis' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt3704428/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (June 24-26) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Elvis' grosses more than $45,000,000 on its opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of this film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend. If there is no final data available by July 3, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'Elvis' is a 2022 biographical musical drama film directed by Baz Luhrmann chronicling the life and career of singer and actor Elvis Presley, from his early days as a child to becoming a rock and roll star and movie star, as well as his complex relationship with his manager Colonel Tom Parker. It premiered at several festivals and is scheduled to be theatrically released by Warner Bros. Pictures in the United States on June 24, 2022. This is a market on how much 'Elvis' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt3704428/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (June 24-26) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Elvis' grosses more than $38,000,000 on its opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of this film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend. If there is no final data available by July 3, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. 'Elvis' is a 2022 biographical musical drama film directed by Baz Luhrmann chronicling the life and career of singer and actor Elvis Presley, from his early days as a child to becoming a rock and roll star and movie star, as well as his complex relationship with his manager Colonel Tom Parker. It premiered at several festivals and is scheduled to be theatrically released by Warner Bros. Pictures in the United States on June 24, 2022. This is a market on how much 'Elvis' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt3704428/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (June 24-26) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Elvis' grosses more than $45,000,000 on its opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of this film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend. If there is no final data available by July 3, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Elvis" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "More than $38 million gross on opening weekend?" at 0%, followed by "More than $45 million gross in its opening weekend?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elvis" has generated $12.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 23, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elvis," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Elvis" is "More than $38 million gross on opening weekend?" at just 0%, with "More than $45 million gross in its opening weekend?" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Elvis" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.