Illinois State's 67-60 road victory over South Dakota in the WNIT Fab 4 semifinal on April 1 has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the Redbirds, reflecting the completed outcome in this skin-in-the-game market. Trailing 17-12 after the first quarter at Sanford Coyote Sports Center, Illinois State rallied with a 38-29 second-half edge, leveraging balanced scoring and defensive stops against the host Coyotes (26-9), who fought back late but fell short. Both teams entered as battle-tested mid-majors—Redbirds 23-13 after a comeback win over George Washington—making the result a testament to Illinois State's postseason resilience. Barring rare official disputes or forfeits, resolution is imminent per WNIT rules.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If the Illinois State Redbirds win, the market will resolve to "Illinois State Redbirds".
If the South Dakota Coyotes win, the market will resolve to "South Dakota Coyotes".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 10:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.ncaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...

If the Illinois State Redbirds win, the market will resolve to "Illinois State Redbirds".
If the South Dakota Coyotes win, the market will resolve to "South Dakota Coyotes".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 10:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.ncaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Illinois State's 67-60 road victory over South Dakota in the WNIT Fab 4 semifinal on April 1 has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the Redbirds, reflecting the completed outcome in this skin-in-the-game market. Trailing 17-12 after the first quarter at Sanford Coyote Sports Center, Illinois State rallied with a 38-29 second-half edge, leveraging balanced scoring and defensive stops against the host Coyotes (26-9), who fought back late but fell short. Both teams entered as battle-tested mid-majors—Redbirds 23-13 after a comeback win over George Washington—making the result a testament to Illinois State's postseason resilience. Barring rare official disputes or forfeits, resolution is imminent per WNIT rules.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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