Name: Cryptothegame: Who will last longest?
Start: 2024-02-03T01:36:00Z
End: 2024-05-31T00:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anish Agnihotri lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players

Anish Agnihotri

This market will resolve to "Yes" if packym lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players

packym

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lito Coen lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players

Lito Coen

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jesse Pollak lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players

Jesse Pollak

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 3lau lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players

3lau

This market will resolve to "Yes" if web3brett lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players

web3brett

This market will resolve to "Yes" if funghibull lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players

funghibull

This market will resolve to "Yes" if mgiuelpf lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players

mgiuelpf

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Larry Sukernik lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players

Paris Rouzati

Larry Sukernik

Cryptothegame: Who will last longest?

This market will resolve to the listed participant with the highest PnL at the end of the Defi App trading competition starting on November 10, 2025.

The resolution source will be the Defi App Leaderboard on https://app.defi.app/contest.

If two or more participants are tied for the highest PnL at the time of resolution, the market will resolve to the participant whose display name appears first in alphabetical order on the official Defi App leaderboard.

If the competition is not completed or the official leaderboard is unavailable, the market will remain open until reliable data is published by Defi App. If no such data becomes available by January 31, 2026 ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

Note: The official competition includes a large number of participants, however this market will resolve solely based on the listed group of KOL participants. Traders who are not eligible KOLs will not be considered. An eligible KOL will be considered to have won if they are the top trader out of eligible KOLs, regardless of if one of the non-KOL participants finishes ahead of them.

Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?

This market will resolve according to the Human trader with the highest Total PnL at the end of the Aster Human vs AI trading competition. The resolution source will be the Human leaderboard on https://www.asterdex.com/en/campaigns/human-vs-ai, viewable under the Human tab.

If two or more participants are tied for the highest Total PnL at the time of resolution, the market will resolve to the participant whose display name appears first in the ordering used on the official Aster Human leaderboard.

If the competition is not completed or the official leaderboard is unavailable, the market will remain open until reliable data is published by Aster. If no such data becomes available by December 31, 2025 ET, the market will resolve to “Other”.

Will Tippy win the Aster trading competition?

This market will resolve based on the AI with the highest Total P&L at the end of the OKBet Arena. The resolution source will be the leaderboard available at https://arena.okbet.trade/. Total P&L can be viewed by clicking on the wallet icon for each respective AI.

If two or more AIs are tied for the highest Total P&L at the time of resolution, the market will resolve to the AI that comes first in alphabetical order.

If the competition is not completed or the official leaderboard is unavailable, the market will remain open until reliable data is published by okbet. If no such data becomes available by December 31, 2026 ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Claude win the okbet trading competition?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if xQc breaks Forsen's In-Game-Time of 15:28:130 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for xQc to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe.

For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated.

For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by xQc or where xQc is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be xQc's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/xqc); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Google Gemini 3 scores at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam
- Gemini 3 scores at least 40% on FrontierMath Benchmark

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Google+Gemini+Parlay.pdf

Google Gemini Parlay

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Better With Friends in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will PEAK win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?

This market will resolve according to the bracket containing the number of the contestant who is announced as the winner of Beast Games.

The winner is defined as the contestant who is announced as the winner. If multiple players are announced as the winner, this market will resolve according to the contestant who wins the most prize money in the final episode. If multiple players tie for most prize money this money will resolve according to the winning contestant whose listed number is highest. 

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. 

The primary resolution source will be the final episode of the Beast Games, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Grok has a native macOS desktop application publicly available for download
- OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser
- Apple releases a new AirTag product
- Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public
- Grokipedia is made available to the general public

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

Qualifying releases during this market's timeframe will count, regardless of any subsequent reversal, rollback, or withdrawal of access.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Tech.pdf 

Tech Release Parlay

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 19, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Artificial Intelligence is named TIME's Person of 2025
- GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam
- AI wins IMO gold medal
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark
- AI scores ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If resolution-relevant information regarding the events mentioned above is not available by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If by that date there is still no clear information indicating that one of the listed events has occurred,  this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI2.png

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) is not the second or first largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization at any point between March 9, and December 31, 2025 ET, according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be CoinGecko. If CoinGecko becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be chosen. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

ETH flipped in 2025?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Steam Awards?

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship, currently scheduled for October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player is eliminated from the championship under the tournament's official rules, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies.

If the winner is not announced by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 10, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- MrBeast hits 500 million subscribers
- Trump meets MrBeast in 2025
- Another MrBeast video gets 55m+ day 1 views 

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mrbeast.png

Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition

This market will resolve according to the winner of the DreamLeague Season 27.

If the DreamLeague Season 27 is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the DreamLeague organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Team Yandex win DreamLeague 27?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Best Game on Steam Deck in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Hades II win Best Game on Steam Deck at the 2025 Steam Awards?

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. 

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Sit Back and Relax in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Megabonk win Sit Back and Relax in the 2025 Steam Awards?

This market will resolve to the company which owns the model that has the top LiveBench “coding average” score, as based off the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. 

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season.

If the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LPL league organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Labor of Love in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Baldur's Gate 3 win Labor of Love at the 2025 Steam Awards?

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USR-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’25 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USR below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2025 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USR-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSRUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USR-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USR information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USR was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

USR depeg by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if GPT-5 achieves a score of 70% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is any rank other than #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index at any point between June 30, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If this source becomes permanently unavailable in that time period, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If both sources become permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Axiom officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Axiom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Nuclear weapon detonated
- A US-Iran nuclear deal is reached
- Israel confirmed it has nuclear weapons
- Trump says the 'N Word'

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Nuclear+Edition.pdf

Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Edition

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 ET:

- Trump out as US President
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine President
- Nicolás Maduro out as Venezuela's President
- Netanyahu out as Prime Minister of Israel
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran
- Putin out as President of Russia
- Starmer out as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/WLO1.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/WLO2.png

Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs.

If the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini 3 model with a score of at least the specified score by the specified January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

The 2025 FIDE World Blitz Championship chess tournament is scheduled for December 29-30, 2025 in Doha, Qatar.

This market will resolve to the listed player who wins the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship.

If a listed player is eliminated from this tournament, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?

This is a market on whether the market capitalization of Solana (SOL) will surpass that of Ethereum (ETH) within this market's timeframe, according to CoinGecko. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum respectively.

This market's timeframe spans from February 12, 2025, 10:00 AM ET, to December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at any point within this market's timeframe SOL has a greater market cap than ETH according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data through January 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 10, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Nuclear weapon detonated
- Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize
- Ukraine election called
- US-Russia nuclear deal
- Mass Gaza population relocation
- Ukraine agrees to give up the rest of Donbas

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/war1.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/war2.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/war3.png

Cryptothegame: Who will last longest?

Larry Sukernik
$3,535 Vol.
No

Paris Rouzati
$2,979 Vol.
No

mgiuelpf
$3,122 Vol.
No

Anish Agnihotri
$16,924 Vol.
No

Lito Coen
$2,066 Vol.
No

Jesse Pollak
$4,534 Vol.
No

3lau
$2,830 Vol.
No

packym
$1,298 Vol.
No

funghibull
$1,999 Vol.
Yes

web3brett
$2,722 Vol.
No

Market Context

Cryptothegame: Who will last longest?

Rules

Cryptothegame: Who will last longest?

Market Context

Cryptothegame: Who will last longest?

About

Related

Cryptothegame: Who will last longest?

Larry Sukernik$3,535 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Paris Rouzati$2,979 Vol.Nocircle xmark

mgiuelpf$3,122 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Anish Agnihotri$16,924 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lito Coen$2,066 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Jesse Pollak$4,534 Vol.Nocircle xmark

3lau$2,830 Vol.Nocircle xmark

packym$1,298 Vol.Nocircle xmark

funghibull$1,999 Vol.Yescircle check

web3brett$2,722 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Cryptothegame: Who will last longest?

Rules

Cryptothegame: Who will last longest?

Market Context

Cryptothegame: Who will last longest?

About

Related

Larry Sukernik
$3,535 Vol.
No

Paris Rouzati
$2,979 Vol.
No

mgiuelpf
$3,122 Vol.
No

Anish Agnihotri
$16,924 Vol.
No

Lito Coen
$2,066 Vol.
No

Jesse Pollak
$4,534 Vol.
No

3lau
$2,830 Vol.
No

packym
$1,298 Vol.
No

funghibull
$1,999 Vol.
Yes

web3brett
$2,722 Vol.
No