Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran tensions have driven sharp inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, lifting WTI crude near $90–93 per barrel as of early June. This risk premium outweighs baseline supply recovery expectations, supporting elevated front-month futures amid elevated volatility. Persistent Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels daily continue to limit downside pressure, though diplomatic signals on de-escalation introduce modest caution. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and upcoming EIA inventory data, which will shape trader positioning on price thresholds heading into month-end settlement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO Petróleo Bruto (CL) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
$23,301,340 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
4%
↑ $120
10%
↑ $115
12%
↑ $110
20%
↑ $105
39%
↓ $85
54%
↓ $80
31%
↓ $70
5%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
<1%
$23,301,340 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
4%
↑ $120
10%
↑ $115
12%
↑ $110
20%
↑ $105
39%
↓ $85
54%
↓ $80
31%
↓ $70
5%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran tensions have driven sharp inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, lifting WTI crude near $90–93 per barrel as of early June. This risk premium outweighs baseline supply recovery expectations, supporting elevated front-month futures amid elevated volatility. Persistent Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels daily continue to limit downside pressure, though diplomatic signals on de-escalation introduce modest caution. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and upcoming EIA inventory data, which will shape trader positioning on price thresholds heading into month-end settlement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions