Trader consensus prices Zhongyi Tan and Divya Deshmukh at even 50% implied probabilities for victory in their FIDE Women's Candidates 2026 Round 5 classical matchup, with a 50% draw likelihood, underscoring the razor-thin dynamics after Deshmukh's grueling 101-move upset win over Tan in the 2025 World Cup semifinals that propelled her to the final. Both sit at 1.5/4 points in the double round-robin following yesterday's Round 4—Tan salvaging a draw against co-leader Bibisara Assaubayeva after her Round 3 loss to Kateryna Lagno, while Deshmukh succumbed to surging Zhu Jiner despite solid draws in Rounds 1-3 against Anna Muzychuk, Vaishali Rameshbabu, and Aleksandra Goryachkina. Tan's 2535 rating edges Deshmukh's 2497, but equivalent form and preparation needs balance the scales.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If Zhongyi Tan wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Zhongyi Tan wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Zhongyi Tan and Divya Deshmukh at even 50% implied probabilities for victory in their FIDE Women's Candidates 2026 Round 5 classical matchup, with a 50% draw likelihood, underscoring the razor-thin dynamics after Deshmukh's grueling 101-move upset win over Tan in the 2025 World Cup semifinals that propelled her to the final. Both sit at 1.5/4 points in the double round-robin following yesterday's Round 4—Tan salvaging a draw against co-leader Bibisara Assaubayeva after her Round 3 loss to Kateryna Lagno, while Deshmukh succumbed to surging Zhu Jiner despite solid draws in Rounds 1-3 against Anna Muzychuk, Vaishali Rameshbabu, and Aleksandra Goryachkina. Tan's 2535 rating edges Deshmukh's 2497, but equivalent form and preparation needs balance the scales.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions