Sports·Chess

Fabiano Caruana vs Matthias Bluebaum

Polymarket
Fabiano Caruana
Fabiano Caruana
12:45 PMApril 3
Matthias Bluebaum
Matthias Bluebaum
$1.72K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$1.7K Vol.

In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026 If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026 If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026 If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Fabiano Caruana holds a significant Elo edge and vast FIDE Candidates experience as Black against Matthias Bluebaum in Round 5, yet traders price a draw at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting the solid, risk-averse classical chess typical at this elite level. Bluebaum remains unbeaten with four straight draws through Round 4—solid Petroff and balanced defenses holding Praggnanandhaa, Esipenko, Sindarov, and Wei Yi—bolstering expectations of equality. Caruana's 39% win probability stems from his pre-loss form (wins over Nakamura and Wei Yi), despite a sharp Round 4 defeat to sole leader Sindarov (3.5/4), positioning him at 2.5/4 overall. Bluebaum's 6.5% reflects underdog status at 2/4, with no head-to-head classical edge noted.

In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$1,722
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://lichess.org/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026 If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Bluebaum vs. Caruana” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the Chess game between the Matthias Bluebaum and the Fabiano Caruana, scheduled for April 3, 2026 at 8:45 AM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Caruana is currently priced at 39¢ (39% implied probability) and Bluebaum at 6¢ (6%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Bluebaum vs. Caruana” market has generated $1.7K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Bluebaum vs. Caruana,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MBLUEB at 6¢ and FCARUA at 39¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Bluebaum vs. Caruana” show Fabiano Caruana at 39¢ (39% implied probability) and Matthias Bluebaum at 6¢ (6%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Bluebaum vs. Caruana” market resolves based on the official final score of the Chess game as reported by Chess’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·Chess

Fabiano Caruana vs Matthias Bluebaum

Polymarket
Fabiano Caruana
Fabiano Caruana
12:45 PMApril 3
Matthias Bluebaum
Matthias Bluebaum
$1.72K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$1.7K Vol.

In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026 If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026 If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026 If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Fabiano Caruana holds a significant Elo edge and vast FIDE Candidates experience as Black against Matthias Bluebaum in Round 5, yet traders price a draw at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting the solid, risk-averse classical chess typical at this elite level. Bluebaum remains unbeaten with four straight draws through Round 4—solid Petroff and balanced defenses holding Praggnanandhaa, Esipenko, Sindarov, and Wei Yi—bolstering expectations of equality. Caruana's 39% win probability stems from his pre-loss form (wins over Nakamura and Wei Yi), despite a sharp Round 4 defeat to sole leader Sindarov (3.5/4), positioning him at 2.5/4 overall. Bluebaum's 6.5% reflects underdog status at 2/4, with no head-to-head classical edge noted.

In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$1,722
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://lichess.org/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026 If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Bluebaum vs. Caruana” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the Chess game between the Matthias Bluebaum and the Fabiano Caruana, scheduled for April 3, 2026 at 8:45 AM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Caruana is currently priced at 39¢ (39% implied probability) and Bluebaum at 6¢ (6%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Bluebaum vs. Caruana” market has generated $1.7K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Bluebaum vs. Caruana,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MBLUEB at 6¢ and FCARUA at 39¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Bluebaum vs. Caruana” show Fabiano Caruana at 39¢ (39% implied probability) and Matthias Bluebaum at 6¢ (6%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Bluebaum vs. Caruana” market resolves based on the official final score of the Chess game as reported by Chess’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.