Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a 100% implied probability against Beyond Meat (BYND) beating Q4 2025 quarterly earnings, driven by the company's official release today showing GAAP EPS of -$0.29, a 107% negative surprise versus consensus estimates of -$0.14, alongside revenue of $61.6 million slightly missing $62.8 million expectations amid persistent demand weakness in plant-based proteins. This follows a string of misses over the past four quarters, compounded by a delayed filing due to material weaknesses in inventory controls that further eroded credibility. Tail risks include a rare post-release restatement or audit adjustment improving reported figures, though such scenarios are improbable given the magnitude of the shortfall and forward guidance for Q1 2026 net revenue of $57–$59 million.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$207,486 Vol.
$207,486 Vol.
Feb 25, 2026
$207,486 Vol.
$207,486 Vol.
Feb 25, 2026
As of market creation, Beyond Meat is estimated to release earnings on February 25, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Beyond Meat's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.08 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Beyond Meat reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.08 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Beyond Meat releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a 100% implied probability against Beyond Meat (BYND) beating Q4 2025 quarterly earnings, driven by the company's official release today showing GAAP EPS of -$0.29, a 107% negative surprise versus consensus estimates of -$0.14, alongside revenue of $61.6 million slightly missing $62.8 million expectations amid persistent demand weakness in plant-based proteins. This follows a string of misses over the past four quarters, compounded by a delayed filing due to material weaknesses in inventory controls that further eroded credibility. Tail risks include a rare post-release restatement or audit adjustment improving reported figures, though such scenarios are improbable given the magnitude of the shortfall and forward guidance for Q1 2026 net revenue of $57–$59 million.
As of market creation, Beyond Meat is estimated to release earnings on February 25, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Beyond Meat's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.08 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Beyond Meat reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.08 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Beyond Meat releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Beyond Meat releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Feb 16, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$207,486End Date
Feb 25, 2026Market Opened
Feb 16, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
As of market creation, Beyond Meat is estimated to release earnings on February 25, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Beyond Meat's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.08 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Beyond Meat reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.08 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Beyond Meat releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a 100% implied probability against Beyond Meat (BYND) beating Q4 2025 quarterly earnings, driven by the company's official release today showing GAAP EPS of -$0.29, a 107% negative surprise versus consensus estimates of -$0.14, alongside revenue of $61.6 million slightly missing $62.8 million expectations amid persistent demand weakness in plant-based proteins. This follows a string of misses over the past four quarters, compounded by a delayed filing due to material weaknesses in inventory controls that further eroded credibility. Tail risks include a rare post-release restatement or audit adjustment improving reported figures, though such scenarios are improbable given the magnitude of the shortfall and forward guidance for Q1 2026 net revenue of $57–$59 million.
As of market creation, Beyond Meat is estimated to release earnings on February 25, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Beyond Meat's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.08 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Beyond Meat reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.08 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Beyond Meat releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Beyond Meat releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$207,486End Date
Feb 25, 2026Market Opened
Feb 16, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a 100% implied probability against Beyond Meat (BYND) beating Q4 2025 quarterly earnings, driven by the company's official release today showing GAAP EPS of -$0.29, a 107% negative surprise versus consensus estimates of -$0.14, alongside revenue of $61.6 million slightly missing $62.8 million expectations amid persistent demand weakness in plant-based proteins. This follows a string of misses over the past four quarters, compounded by a delayed filing due to material weaknesses in inventory controls that further eroded credibility. Tail risks include a rare post-release restatement or audit adjustment improving reported figures, though such scenarios are improbable given the magnitude of the shortfall and forward guidance for Q1 2026 net revenue of $57–$59 million.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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