Holstein Kiel holds a slim 50.5% implied probability as traders price in home advantage at Holstein-Stadion during this pivotal 2. Bundesliga relegation six-pointer, where they sit 17th with 28 points from 27 matches, one point and a superior goal difference ahead of 18th-placed Preußen Münster (26 points). Münster's recent 2-0 victory over Paderborn provided momentum, but they enter depleted, missing five players including Yamada, Meyerhöfer, Sertdemir, Benjamins, and Preißinger due to injuries and other issues. Kiel contends with Umut Tohumcu's suspension and injuries to Carl Johansson (knee) and Philipp Erras (head), alongside a mixed recent form featuring a 2-2 draw versus Braunschweig. Even head-to-head history with frequent draws underscores the market's tight 25% pricing on stalemate and Münster upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If Holstein Kiel wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Holstein Kiel wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Holstein Kiel holds a slim 50.5% implied probability as traders price in home advantage at Holstein-Stadion during this pivotal 2. Bundesliga relegation six-pointer, where they sit 17th with 28 points from 27 matches, one point and a superior goal difference ahead of 18th-placed Preußen Münster (26 points). Münster's recent 2-0 victory over Paderborn provided momentum, but they enter depleted, missing five players including Yamada, Meyerhöfer, Sertdemir, Benjamins, and Preißinger due to injuries and other issues. Kiel contends with Umut Tohumcu's suspension and injuries to Carl Johansson (knee) and Philipp Erras (head), alongside a mixed recent form featuring a 2-2 draw versus Braunschweig. Even head-to-head history with frequent draws underscores the market's tight 25% pricing on stalemate and Münster upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions