Name: "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
Start: 2026-01-08T21:31:19.87949Z
End: 2026-01-11T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve according to how much "Avatar: Fire and Ash" will gross domestically on its 4th weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (January 9 - January 11) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by January 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Box Office Openings

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

'Lightyear' is an upcoming American computer-animated film produced by Pixar Animation Studios. It is a spin-off of the Toy Story film series, serving as an origin story for the fictional test astronaut character who the Buzz Lightyear toy figure featured in the main films was inspired by. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on June 17, 2022.

This is a market on how much 'Lightyear' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl6456065/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (June 17-19) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Lightyear' grosses more than $90,000,000 on the opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA or to the USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by June 26, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Lightyear' gross more than $90 million domestically on its opening weekend?

This is a market on whether F9 will gross more than $62M domestically on the opening weekend. This market will resolve to “Yes” if F9 grosses more than $62,000,000 on opening weekend, defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release, and “No” Otherwise. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl192906753/, under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on June 29, 2021, 5 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by July 5, 2021, 5 PM ET, then another credible source will chosen by the MIC and checked. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Will F9 gross more than $62M domestically on opening weekend?

This is a market on how much “In the Heights” will gross domestically on opening weekend. Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. This market will resolve to “Under 22M” if “In the Heights” grosses less than $22,000,000 on opening weekend, or “22M to 29M” if “In the Heights” grosses between $22,000,000 and $29,000,000 inclusive on opening weekend, or “Over 29M” if “In the Heights” grosses more than $29,000,000 on opening weekend. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3674506753/ under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on June 15, 2021, 5 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked 24 hours later, and so on until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by June 25, 2021, 5 PM ET, then each bracket will resolve to 33 cents. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

How much will “In the Heights” gross domestically on opening weekend?

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, as checked on the resolution date, the 'The Batman' movie will be given 90% or higher Tomatometer rating at Rotten Tomatoes, and 'No' otherwise.

The resolution source (Tomatometer All Critics Score rating at Rotten Tomatoes' movie profile: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_batman) for this market will be checked on the resolution date - March 7 2022 at 12:00 PM ET.

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'The Batman' will be released worldwide in theaters on March 4.

Rotten Tomatoes' Tomatometer is the percentage of all Approved Tomatometer Critics who have given this movie a positive review.

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If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 12 hours, until the actual data is available.

If the data is not available on the resolution source by March 14 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50.

Will 'The Batman' get 90% or higher Tomatometer Score?

This is a market on whether A Quiet Place Part II will gross more domestically on the opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I. This market will resolve to “Yes” if A Quiet Place Part II grosses more than $50,203,562 on opening weekend, defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release, and “No” Otherwise. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2819065345/, under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on June 1, 2021, 5 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked 24 hours later, and so on until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by June 10, 2021, 5 PM ET, then the market will resolve to 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).




Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, as checked on the resolution date, the 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' movie will be given 86% or higher Rotten Tomatoes' Verified Audience Score, and "No" otherwise.

The resolution source (Audience Score rating at Rotten Tomatoes' movie profile: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/ghostbusters_afterlife) for this market will be checked on the resolution date - November 22 at 12:00 PM ET.

If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.

If the data is not available on the resolution source by November 26, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50.

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'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' will be released theatrically in the United States on November 19, 2021.

Rotten Tomatoes' Verified Audience Score that pertains to this market is the one on the main page of the resolution source. It is a percentage of RT users who made a verified movie ticket purchase rating this 3.5 stars or higher.

Will 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the combined domestic opening weekend gross of PAW Patrol: The Movie and The Protege is over $17,000,000, and “No” otherwise. The resolution sources are https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1757315585/ for PAW Patrol: The movie, and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1555988993/ for The Protege. The opening weekend numbers for both movies will be added up to determine the resolution of this market. 

To resolve the market, the sources will be checked on August 23, 2021, 3 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the sources will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by August 30, 2021, 3 PM ET, then another credible source will chosen by the MIC and checked. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Will PAW Patrol: The Movie and The Protege have a combined domestic opening weekend gross of over 17M?

In Response to Trader Inquiry: The Audience score that pertains to this market is the one on the main page of the resolution source, which is the “Verified Audience” score.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, as checked on the resolution date, Marvel Studios' Eternals movie will be given 90% or higher Rotten Tomatoes' Audience Score, and "No" otherwise.

The resolution source (Audience Score rating at Rotten Tomatoes' movie profile: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/eternals) for this market will be checked on the resolution date - November 8 at 12:00 PM ET. 

If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available. If the data is not available on the resolution source by November 15, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50.
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Eternals is a 2021 American epic superhero film based on the Marvel Comics race of the same name. Produced by Marvel Studios and distributed by Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures, it is the 26th film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU).

Eternals will be released theatrically in the United States on November 5, 2021.

Rotten Tomatoes' Audience Score is the percentage of its users who rated a movie 3.5 stars or higher.

Will 'Eternals' get 90% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?

This is a market on how much "Scream" (2022) will gross domestically on opening weekend. The lower bound for this market is $15,000,000, and the upper bound is $40,000,000. Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt11245972/ will resolve this market when checked on January 17 2022, 9 PM ET. 

If the box office sales data is a studio estimate, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until there is conclusive data. If data is not available 1 week after the first check, this market will resolve 50/50. 

You can use the calculator to the right (underneath the Buy modal) to calculate how each Long or Short Token price corresponds with Scream's gross domestic return (on opening weekend). Long and Short shares will settle proportionally to the outcome value if the final value is between these bounds, but if the final value exceeds either the upper or lower bound, the price of each Outcome Token is capped at $1 and $0.

How much will “Scream” (2022) gross domestically on opening weekend?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if “The Suicide Squad” grosses more than $37,500,000 on opening weekend, defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl84510209/, under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on August 10, 2021, 3 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by August 17, 2021, 3 PM ET, then another credible source will chosen by the MIC and checked. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Will “The Suicide Squad” gross more than $37.5M domestically on opening weekend?

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, as checked on the resolution date, 'The Matrix Resurrections' movie will be given 85% or higher Tomatometer rating on Rotten Tomatoes, and 'No' otherwise.

The resolution source (Tomatometer All Critics Score rating at Rotten Tomatoes' movie profile: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_matrix_resurrections) for this market will be checked on the resolution date - December 25 2021 at 12:00 PM ET.

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'The Matrix Resurrections' will be released worldwide on December 22.

Rotten Tomatoes' Tomatometer is the percentage of all Approved Tomatometer Critics who have given this movie a positive review.
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If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.

If the data is not available on the resolution source by December 31 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50.

Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 85% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score?

This is a market on whether The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It will gross more than $25M domestically on opening weekend. This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do grosses more than $25,000,000 on opening weekend, defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release, and “No” Otherwise. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3842475521/ under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on June 8, 2021, 5 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked 24 hours later, and so on until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by June 15, 2021, 5 PM ET, then the market will resolve to 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Will The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It gross more than $25M domestically on opening weekend?

In Response to Trader Inquiry: The Audience score that pertains to this market is the one on the main page of the resolution source, which is the “Verified Audience” score.

This market will resolve to ""Yes"" if, as checked on the resolution date, Marvel Studios' Eternals movie will be given 85% or higher Rotten Tomatoes' Audience Score, and ""No"" otherwise.

The resolution source (Audience Score rating at Rotten Tomatoes' movie profile: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/eternals) for this market will be checked on the resolution date - November 8 at 12:00 PM ET.

If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.

If the data is not available on the resolution source by November 15, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50.

---------------
Eternals is a 2021 American epic superhero film based on the Marvel Comics race of the same name. Produced by Marvel Studios and distributed by Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures, it is the 26th film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU).

Eternals will be released theatrically in the United States on November 5, 2021.

Rotten Tomatoes' Audience Score is the percentage of its users who rated a movie 3.5 stars or higher.

Will 'Eternals' get 85% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?

This is a market on how much 'Morbius' (to be released on April 1, 2022) will gross domestically (in the USA) on the opening weekend. Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. 

The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2064025089/ will resolve this market when checked on April 4 2022, 9 PM ET. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Morbius' grossed $50,000,000 or more and to "No" otherwise.

If the box office sales data is a studio estimate, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until there is conclusive data. If data is not available 1 week after the first check, this market will resolve 50/50. 

Will 'Morbius' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA?

This is a market on how much 'Sonic the Hedgehog 2' (to be released in the USA on April 8, 2022) will gross domestically (in the USA) on the opening weekend. Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. 

The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt12412888/ will resolve this market when checked on April 11 2022, 9 PM ET. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Sonic the Hedgehog 2' grosses $50,000,000 or more and to "No" otherwise.

If the box office sales data is a studio estimate, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until there is conclusive data. If data is not available 1 week after the first check, this market will resolve 50/50. 

Will 'Sonic the Hedgehog 2' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA?

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, as checked on the resolution date, 'The Matrix Resurrections' movie will be given 75% or higher Tomatometer rating on Rotten Tomatoes, and 'No' otherwise.

The resolution source (Tomatometer All Critics Score rating at Rotten Tomatoes' movie profile: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_matrix_resurrections) for this market will be checked on the resolution date - December 25 2021 at 12:00 PM ET.

---------------
'The Matrix Resurrections' will be released worldwide on December 22.

Rotten Tomatoes' Tomatometer is the percentage of all Approved Tomatometer Critics who have given this movie a positive review.
---------------

If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.

If the data is not available on the resolution source by December 31 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50.

Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 75% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score?

'Minions: The Rise of Gru' is a 2022 American computer-animated comedy film produced by Illumination and distributed by Universal Pictures. It is the sequel to the spin-off prequel Minions (2015) and the fifth entry overall in the Despicable Me franchise. It debuted at the Annecy International Animation Film Festival on June 13, 2022, and is scheduled to be theatrically released in the United States on July 1, 2022.

This is a market on how much 'Minions: The Rise of Gru' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1736214017/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (July 1-3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Minions: The Rise of Gru' grosses more than $75,000,000 on its opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of this film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend.

If there is no final data available by July 10, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Minions: The Rise of Gru' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend?

This is a market on whether Space Jam: A New Legacy will gross more than Black Widow on the July 16-18 weekend. This market will resolve to “Space Jam” if Space Jam: A New Legacy grosses more than Black Widow on the July 16 - July 18 domestic weekend, or “Black Widow” if Black Widow grosses more than Space Jam: A New Legacy on the July 16 - July 18 domestic weekend. Note that the July 16 - 18 weekend comprises of Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. The resolution sources will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl973374977/ and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2122089985/ under "Domestic Weekend." To resolve the market, the sources will be checked on July 20, 2021, 5 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the sources will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is still not available on the resolution source by July 27, 2021, 5 PM ET, then another credible source will chosen by the MIC and checked. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Will Space Jam: A New Legacy or Black Widow gross more domestically on the July 16-18 weekend? 

This is a market on whether Candyman will gross more than $19.0M domestically on the opening weekend. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Candyman grosses more than $19,000,000 on opening weekend, defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release, and “No” Otherwise. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1913030145, under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on August 30, 2021, 5 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by September 7, 2021, 5 PM ET, then another credible source will chosen by the MIC and checked. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Will Candyman gross more than $19M domestically on opening weekend?

This is a market on how much "Dune" will gross domestically on opening weekend. The lower bound for this market is $30,000,000, and the upper bound is $60,000,000. Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3162015233/ will resolve this market when checked on October 25 2021, 5 PM ET. 

If the box office sales data is a studio estimate, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until there is conclusive data. If data is not available 1 week after the first check, this market will resolve 50/50. 

You can use the calculator to the right (underneath the Buy modal) to calculate how each Long or Short Token price corresponds with Dune’s gross domestic return (on opening weekend). Long and Short shares will settle proportionally to the outcome value if the final value is between these bounds, but if the final value exceeds either the upper or lower bound, the price of each Outcome Token is capped at $1 and $0.


How much will “Dune” gross domestically on opening weekend?

This market will resolve to “Snake Eyes” if Snake Eyes grosses more domestically than Old on opening weekend, or “Old” if Old grosses more domestically than Snake Eyes opening weekend. Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of a film’s release. The resolution sources will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2114291201/ and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2097710593/ under "Domestic Weekend." To resolve the market, the sources will be checked on July 27, 2021, 3 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the sources will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is still not available on the resolution source by August 2, 2021, 3 PM ET, then another credible source will chosen by the MIC and checked. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). 

Will Snake Eyes or Old gross more domestically opening weekend?

This is a market on how much 'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' (to be released in the USA on April 15, 2022) will gross domestically (in the USA) on its opening weekend. Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. 

The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt4123432/ will resolve this market when checked on April 18, 2022, 11 PM ET. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' grosses $53,000,000 or more and to "No" otherwise.

If the box office sales data is a studio estimate, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 12 hours until there is conclusive data. If data is not available 1 week after the first check, this market will resolve 50/50. 

Will 'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' gross $53 million or more on opening weekend in the United States?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Free Guy grosses more than $20,000,000 on opening weekend, defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1158252033/, under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on August 17, 2021, 3 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by August 24, 2021, 3 PM ET, then another credible source will chosen by the MIC and checked. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Will Free Guy gross more than $20M domestically on opening weekend?

This is a market on whether the 'Vikings: Valhalla: Season 1' will hold the number one spot on Netflix’s Weekly Global Top 10 list for the week ending on March 20 2022. 

The resolution source will be the official statistic portal of Netflix (https://top10.netflix.com/), under 'Global Top 10' for the week March 14 - March 20, 2022'. Both 'TV (English)' and 'TV (Non-English)' top lists will be checked, and the number of hours viewed for each of the titles will be compared.

If 'Vikings: Valhalla: Season 1' is ranked #1 for the aforementioned week in terms of hours viewed including TV (English) and TV (Non-English), this market will resolve to 'Yes'. Otherwise, the market will resolve to 'No.' 

The resolution source will be checked on March 22, 12 PM ET. If the resolution data is unavailable, the source will be checked every 24 hours until the data is available, and the most recent data will be used to resolve the market. If two weeks later the data is still unavailable, this market resolves 50/50.

Will 'Vikings: Valhalla: Season 1' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending March 20?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jungle Cruise grosses more than $30,000,000 on opening weekend, defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3657795073/, under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on August 3, 2021, 3 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by August 10, 2021, 3 PM ET, then another credible source will chosen by the MIC and checked. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Will Jungle Cruise gross more than $30M domestically on opening weekend?

This is a market on whether Black Widow will gross more than $87.5M domestically on the opening weekend. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Black Widow grosses more than $87,500,000 on opening weekend, defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release, and “No” Otherwise. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2122089985/, under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on July 13, 2021, 5 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by July 27, 2021, 5 PM ET, then another credible source will chosen by the MIC and checked. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Will Black Widow gross more than $87.5M domestically on opening weekend?

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, as checked on the resolution date, the 'Spider-Man: No Way Home' movie will be given 90% or higher Tomatometer rating on Rotten Tomatoes, and 'No' otherwise.

The resolution source (Tomatometer All Critics Score rating at Rotten Tomatoes' movie profile: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/spider_man_no_way_home) for this market will be checked on the resolution date - December 20 2021 at 12:00 PM ET.

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'Spider-Man: No Way Home' will be released worldwide on December 17.

Rotten Tomatoes' Tomatometer is the percentage of all Approved Tomatometer Critics who have given this movie a positive review.

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If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.

If the data is not available on the resolution source by December 27 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50.

Will 'Spider-Man: No Way Home' get a 90% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score?

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, as checked on the resolution date, the 'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' movie will be given 80% or higher Tomatometer rating at Rotten Tomatoes, and 'No' otherwise.

The resolution source (Tomatometer All Critics Score rating at Rotten Tomatoes' movie profile: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/fantastic_beasts_the_secrets_of_dumbledore) for this market will be checked on the resolution date - April 19 2022 at 12:00 PM ET.

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'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' will be released worldwide in theaters on April 15.

Rotten Tomatoes' Tomatometer is the percentage of all Approved Tomatometer Critics who have given this movie a positive review.

---------------

If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 12 hours, until the actual data is available.

If the data is not available on the resolution source by April 26 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50.

Will 'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' get a 80% or higher Tomatometer Score?

This is a market on whether the Netflix show, Squid Game, will hold the number one spot on Netflix’s daily U.S. top ten ranking from October 1, 2021 to October 7, 2021. The resolution source will be https://flixpatrol.com/top10/netflix/united-states which ranks the top 10 Netflix TV shows in the US. Past top 10 data may be found by appending the date to the aforementioned link, e.g. https://flixpatrol.com/top10/netflix/united-states/2021-09-18/ for September 18. 

The resolution source will be checked at 8 PM ET daily from October 1 to October 7, under "Top 10 TV Shows." If on all of the daily checks "Squid Game" remained #1, the market will resolve to "Yes." If on any of those checks "Squid Game" was not #1, the market will resolve to "No." If the resolution source is unavailable during the checks, another credible resolution source will be chosen such as https://www.whats-on-netflix.com/most-popular/. 

Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October?

This is a market on which movie will gross more domestically in the US on opening weekend: Venom 2 or No Time to Die. This market will resolve to “Venom 2” if Venom: Let There Be Carnage grosses more domestically in the US than No Time to Die on its opening weekend, or “No Time to Die” if No Time to Die grosses more domestically in the US than Venom: Let There Be Carnage on its opening weekend. October 1 - October 3 will be used for Venom 2’s opening weekend, and October 8 - October 10 will be used for No Time to Die. 

The resolution sources will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1908310529/ for Venom 2 and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4077159937/ for No Time to Die. To resolve the market, the sources will be checked on October 11, 2021, 5 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the sources will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by October 18, 2021, 5 PM ET, then other credible sources will chosen and checked. 

Which movie will gross more domestically on opening weekend: Venom 2 or No Time to Die?

This is a market on whether "Dune" or "Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings" finishes with a higher domestic box office gross through December 19, 2021. Dune is currently slated for release on October 22, 2021 in the United States, and Shang-Chi is currently slated for release on September 3, 2021. The domestic box office of the respective films will be checked on December 21, 2021, 12:00 PM ET at https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3162015233/ for Dune and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3490022913/ for Shang-Chi. If these sources are unavailable, other credible sources for box office data will be used. If Dune passes Shang-Chi in box office on any day prior to December 19, 2021, this market will immediately resolve to “Dune.” If either movie is delayed beyond December 19, 2021, this market will resolve immediately to the film that has NOT been delayed. Any reported streaming revenues will not be included in this market. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? 

This is a market on whether Venom: Let There Be Carnage (Venom 2) will gross more than $64.0M and less than $72.0M domestically on the opening weekend. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venom 2 grosses more than $64,000,000 and less than $72,000,000 on opening weekend, defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release, and “No” Otherwise. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1908310529/, under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on October 4, 2021, 5 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by October 11, 2021, 5 PM ET, then another credible source will chosen and checked. 

Will Venom: Let There Be Carnage gross between $64M and $72M domestically on opening weekend? 

This is a market on whether Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings will gross more than $52.0M domestically on the opening weekend. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings grosses more than $52,000,000 on opening weekend, defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3490022913/, under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on September 6, 2021, 5 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by September 13, 2021, 5 PM ET, then another credible source will chosen and checked.

Will Shang-Chi gross more than $52M domestically on opening weekend?

This is a market on whether Black Widow will be the highest grossing domestic (U.S.) film of 2021. The resolution source for this market is https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2021/?ref_=bo_yl_table_1. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on December 31, 2021 at 11:59:59 PM ET. Should the resolution source not be available for any reason on the resolution date, the source will be checked every day at 11:59:59 PM ET until January 8, 2022, after which, if the market is still unresolvable, another credible source will be chosen by the MIC. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021?

This is a market on how much 'Jackass Forever' (to be released on February 4, 2022) will gross domestically (in the US) on the opening weekend.

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. 

The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt11466222/ will resolve these markets when checked on February 7 2022, 9 PM ET. 

How much will 'Jackass Forever' gross domestically on the opening weekend?

'Thor: Love and Thunder' is an upcoming American superhero film based on the Marvel Comics character Thor. It is produced by Marvel Studios, directed by Taika Waititi, and distributed by Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures. It is intended to be the direct sequel to Thor: Ragnarok (2017) and the 29th film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU) as part of Phase Four of the MCU. The film is scheduled to premiere in Los Angeles on June 23, 2022, and released in the United States on July 8, 2022.

Thor: Love and Thunder

'Top Gun: Maverick' is an upcoming American military action drama film directed by Joseph Kosinski. It is the sequel to the 1986 film, 'Top Gun'. The film stars Tom Cruise, Val Kilmer and Miles Teller. It will be released to the general audience on May 27, 2022.

'Top Gun: Maverick' - Rotten Tomatoes & Box Office

‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness' is an upcoming American superhero film based on the Marvel Comics character Doctor Strange. 

This is a series of markets on how much ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness' (to be released on May 6, 2022) will gross domestically (in the USA) on the opening weekend.

‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ opening weekend box office in the USA?

'Elvis' is a 2022 biographical musical drama film directed by Baz Luhrmann chronicling the life and career of singer and actor Elvis Presley, from his early days as a child to becoming a rock and roll star and movie star, as well as his complex relationship with his manager Colonel Tom Parker. It premiered at several festivals and is scheduled to be theatrically released by Warner Bros. Pictures in the United States on June 24, 2022. 

This is a market group on how much 'Elvis' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt3704428/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (June 24-26) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

Elvis

'Nope' is an upcoming American science fiction horror film written, directed, and co-produced by Jordan Peele under his Monkeypaw Productions banner. It stars Daniel Kaluuya, Keke Palmer, and Steven Yeun. The plot follows residents of an isolated town who witness a mysterious and abnormal event. The film is scheduled to be released on July 22, 2022, by Universal Pictures.

Nope

This is a market group on 'Jurassic World Dominion',

'Jurassic World Dominion' is a 2022 American science fiction adventure film directed by Colin Trevorrow. It is the sequel to 'Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom' (2018), the sixth installment in the Jurassic Park franchise and the conclusion to the storyline started in the original Jurassic Park trilogy. Jurassic World Dominion premiered in Mexico City on May 23, 2022, and is scheduled to be theatrically released in the USA on June 10.

Jurassic World Dominion

'DC League of Super-Pets' is an upcoming American computer-animated superhero comedy film, based on the DC Comics superhero team Legion of Super-Pets. It is scheduled to be released in the United States on July 29, 2022, by Warner Bros. Pictures.

DC League of Super-Pets

'The Batman' is an upcoming American superhero film based on the DC Comics character Batman. 

This is a market on how much 'The Batman' (to be released on March 4, 2022) will gross domestically (in the USA) on the opening weekend.

How much will 'The Batman' gross on the opening weekend in the USA?

'Bullet Train' is an upcoming American action mystery & thriller film, starring Brad Pitt as an unlucky assassin. It is scheduled to be released in the United States on August 5, 2022, by Columbia Pictures.

This is a market on how much 'Bullet Train' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt12593682/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (August 5-7) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Bullet Train' grosses more than $32,500,000 on the opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA or to the USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by August 12, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Bullet Train' gross more than $32.5 million domestically on its opening weekend?

This is a market group on 'Bullet Train', an upcoming American action mystery & thriller film starring Brad Pitt as an unlucky assassin. It is scheduled to be released in the United States on July August 5, 2022, by Columbia Pictures.

Bullet Train

This is a market on whether Beast or Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero will gross more domestically on their opening weekend. 

The “Domestic Weekend” tab on the respective pages for Beast (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt13223398/?ref_=bo_se_r_1) and Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt14614892/?ref_=bo_tt_tab#tabs) will be used to resolve this market once their values for the domestic opening weekend (August 19-21) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). The information found on the "Domestic 2022 Weekend 33" chart, found at https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2022W33/, may be used to resolve this market as well.

This market will resolve to "Beast" if 'Beast' grosses more domestically than 'Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero' on its opening weekend. This market will resolve to "Dragon Ball" if 'Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero' grosses more domestically than 'Beast' on its opening weekend. If the movies gross the same amount domestically on their opening weekend, this market will resolve to 50-50.

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA or to the USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by August 26, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


Will Beast or Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero gross more on opening weekend?

'Don't Worry Darling' is an upcoming American mystery thriller film produced by Warner Bros. It portrays the story of "a 1950s housewife living with her husband in a utopian experimental community as she begins to worry his glamorous company could be hiding disturbing secrets." It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on September 23, 2022.

This is a market on how much 'Don't Worry Darling' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10731256/?ref_=bo_se_r_1 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (September 23-25) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Don't Worry Darling' grosses more than $20,000,000 on the opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA or to the USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 3, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Don't Worry Darling' gross more than $20 million domestically on its opening weekend?

'Smile' (2022) is an upcoming American horror film produced by Paramount Pictures. It portrays the story of Dr. Rose Carter, who, "after witnessing a bizarre, traumatic incident involving a patient... starts experiencing frightening occurrences that she can't explain." It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on September 30, 2022.

This is a market on how much 'Smile' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15474916/?ref_=bo_se_r_1 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (September 30 - October 2) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Smile' grosses more than $17,000,000 on its opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA or to the USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 10, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Smile' gross more than $17 million domestically on its opening weekend?

'Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile' (2022) is an upcoming American animated family adventure comedy film produced by Sony Pictures Entertainment (SPE). It is based on a children's book about a crocodile who lives in New York City. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on October 7, 2022.

This is a market on how much 'Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt14668630/?ref_=bo_se_r_1 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (October 7 - October 9) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile' grosses more than $18,000,000 on its opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA or to the USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 17, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile' gross more than $18 million domestically on its opening weekend?

'Halloween Ends' (2022) is an upcoming American horror thriller film produced by Universal Pictures. It is supposedly the final installment in the Halloween film franchise. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on October 14, 2022.

This is a market on how much 'Halloween Ends' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10665342/?ref_=bo_se_r_1 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (October 14 - October 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Halloween Ends' grosses more than $45,000,000 on its opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA or to the USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 24, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Halloween Ends' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend?

'Black Adam' (2022) is an upcoming American super hero film produced by Warner Bros. Dwayne Johnson plays Black Adam, a man bestowed by the Egyptian gods with powers who emerges in the modern day to dispense justice. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on October 21, 2022.

This is a market on how much 'Black Adam' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt6443346/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (October 21 - October 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Black Adam' grosses more than $65,000,000 on its opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA or to the USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 30, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Black Adam' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend?

'Avatar: The Way of Water' (2022) is an upcoming American action adventure fantasy sci-fi film produced by 20th Century Studios. It is the second installment of the Avatar film series directed by James Cameron. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on December 16, 2022.

This is a market on how much 'Avatar: The Way of Water' will gross domestically by January 31, 2023 (inclusive). The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3372254721/ will be used to resolve this market, specifically the "To Date" column.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Avatar: The Way of Water' grosses more than $650,000,000 domestically by January 31, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If any finalized numbers in the "To Date" column (for dates January 31, 2023 and before) show a value of more than $650 million, this market will resolve immediately to "Yes." 

This market may only resolve to "No" once the January 31, 2023 "To Date" number is finalized, or if Jan 31, 2023 date is not available, the nearest previous date with available data. 

Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023?

This is a market group about 'Black Panther: Wakanda Forever', a 2022 American superhero film distributed by Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures. It is the sequel to 'Black Panther' (2018), and the first installment in the series following the death of the original Black Panther, Chadwick Boseman. 'Black Panther: Wakanda Forever' is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on November 11, 2022.

'Black Panther: Wakanda Forever' opening weekend box office

'Avatar: The Way of Water' (2022) is an upcoming American action adventure fantasy sci-fi film produced by 20th Century Studios. It is the second installment of the Avatar film series directed by James Cameron. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on December 16, 2022.

This is a market on how much ‘Avatar: The Way of Water' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1630029/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (Dec 16-18) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Avatar: The Way of Water’ grosses more than $175,000,000 on its opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 26, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend?

'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' (2022) is an upcoming American super hero film produced by Marvel Studios. It is the third installment of the Ant Man series of films, and the 31st film of the Marvel Cinematic Universe. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on February 17, 2023.

This is a market on how much ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' will gross domestically on its 4-day opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10954600 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (February 17-20) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania’ grosses more than $125,000,000 on its 4-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The 4-day opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number  for the 4-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by February 24, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend?

'Cocaine Bear' (2023) is an upcoming American thriller film produced by Universal Pictures. It follows the exploits of a series of unlikely characters who end up in a forest with a bear who unintentionally ingested a large amount of cocaine. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on February 24, 2023.

This is a market group on how much ‘Cocaine Bear' will gross domestically on its opening weekend.

The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt14209916/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (Feb 24-26) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

How much will 'Cocaine Bear' gross domestically on its opening weekend?

This is a market group over how much 'Creed III' will gross domestically on its opening weekend.

How much will 'Creed III' gross domestically on its opening weekend?

This is a market group over how much the film 'Scream VI' will gross domestically on its opening weekend.

'Scream VI' opening weekend

This is a market group over how much 'Shazam! Fury of the Gods' gross domestically on its opening weekend.

'Shazam! Fury of the Gods' opening weekend

'John Wick: Chapter 4' (2023) is an upcoming American Action film distributed by Lionsgate. It is the 4th installment in the John Wick franchise starring Keanu Reeves. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on March 17, 2023.

This is a market group over how much 'John Wick: Chapter 4' will gross domestically on its opening weekend.

'John Wick: Chapter 4' opening weekend

'Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves' (2023) is an upcoming American action fantasy film produced by Paramount Pictures. It is based on the tabletop role-playing game that bears the same name and stars Chris Pine. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on March 31, 2023.

This is a market group over how much 'Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves' will gross domestically on its opening weekend.

'Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves' opening weekend

This is a market group over domestic box office gross figures for "The Super Mario Bros. Movie" (2023).


'The Super Mario Bros. Movie' opening

'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' (2023) is an upcoming American action adventure film distributed by Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures. It is the third film in the Guardians of the Galaxy franchise and the 32nd film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on May 5, 2023.

This is a market group over how much 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' will gross domestically on its opening weekend.

'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' opening weekend

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ongoing Writers Guild of America's (WGA) strike ends by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the ongoing WGA strike to be considered ended, both WGAW (Writers Guild of America West) and WGAE (Writers Guild of America East) must end the strike.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WGA (WGAW: https://www.wga.org/; WGAE: https://www.wgaeast.org/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will the WGA strike end by May 31?

This is a market group over domestic box office domestic opening figures for "Fast X" (2023)
.


'Fast X' opening weekend

This is a market on how much ‘The Little Mermaid' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt5971474/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 26 - 29) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘The Little Mermaid’ grosses more than $120,000,000 on its 4-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 4-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by June 5, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'The Little Mermaid' gross over $120 million on Memorial Day weekend?

This is a market on how much ‘Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2812183041/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 2 - 4) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse’ grosses more than $100,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by June 12, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' gross over $100 million on opening weekend?

This is a market on how much ‘Transformers: Rise of the Beasts' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1606320641/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 9 - 11) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Transformers: Rise of the Beasts’ grosses more than $45,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by June 19, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Transformers: Rise of the Beasts' gross over $45 million on opening weekend?

Box Office: June 16-18

This market will resolve according to how much “Companion” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Companion-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (January 31 - February 2) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by February 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


'Companion' Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “The Monkey” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/The-Monkey-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 21 - 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'The Monkey' Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Love Hurts” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Love-Hurts-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 7 - 9) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by February 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'Love Hurts' Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Magazine Dreams” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Magazine-Dreams-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 21 - March 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'Magazine Dreams' Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Rule Breakers” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Rule-Breakers-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 7 - March 9) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'Rule Breakers' Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Paddington in Peru” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Paddington-in-Peru-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 14 - 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by February 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'Paddington in Peru' Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Heart Eyes” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Heart-Eyes-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 7 - 9) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by February 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


'Heart Eyes' Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Last Breath” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Last-Breath-(2025-United-Kingdom)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 28 - March 2) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'Last Breath' Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Lilo & Stitch” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Lilo-and-Stitch-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 23 - May 25) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by June 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

"Lilo & Stitch" Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Fight or Flight” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fight-or-Flight-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 9 - May 11) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

"Fight or Flight" Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Star Wars Ep. III: Revenge of the Sith” (2025) will gross domestically on the opening weekend of its 2025 re-release. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Star-Wars-Ep-III-Revenge-of-the-Sith#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the re-release's 3-day opening weekend (April 25 - April 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the relevant 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'Star Wars III' Re-Release Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Sinners” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Sinners-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 18 - April 20) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'Sinners' Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Brackets)

This market will resolve according to how much "A Minecraft Movie" (2025) will gross domestically by April 30, 2025. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the the specified date are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for the Total Gross, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'Minecraft' April 30 Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “The Amateur” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Amateur-The-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 11 - April 13) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'The Amateur' Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Bring Her Back” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Bring-Her-Back-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 30 - June 1) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by June 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'Bring Her Back' Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Final Destination: Bloodlines” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Mission-Impossible-The-Final-Reckoning-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 23 - May 25) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by June 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

"Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Final Destination: Bloodlines” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Final-Destination-Bloodlines-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 16 - May 18) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

"Final Destination: Bloodlines" Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Shadow Force” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Shadow-Force-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 9 - May 11) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

"Shadow Force" Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Thunderbolts” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Thunderbolts-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 2 - May 4) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

"Thunderbolts" Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “The Accountant 2” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Accountant-2-The-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 25 - April 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'Accountant 2' Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “The Amateur” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Sinners-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 18 - April 20) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

'Sinners' Opening Weekend Box Office

This market will resolve according to how much “Karate Kid: Legends” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Karate-Kid-Legends-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 30 - June 1) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by June 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

<21m
$57,822 Vol.
14%

21-23m
$25,799 Vol.
78%

>23m
$57,753 Vol.
5%

Market Context

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

Rules

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

Market Context

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

About

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

<21m$57,822 Vol.14%buy Yes15¢buy No88¢

21-23m$25,799 Vol.78%buy Yes83¢buy No26¢

>23m$57,753 Vol.5%buy Yes5.6¢buy No95.5¢

Market Context

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

Rules

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

Market Context

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

About

<21m
$57,822 Vol.
14%

21-23m
$25,799 Vol.
78%

>23m
$57,753 Vol.
5%