Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and status as defending champion drive his commanding 17.5% implied probability, bolstered by recent victories at the Genesis and Players Championship amid a hand injury recovery that hasn't slowed his momentum. Rory McIlroy trails at 8.5% despite strong driving distance, but his history of late-round collapses at Augusta tempers trader confidence in his Grand Slam quest. Jon Rahm's 2023 green jacket and major pedigree (6.7%) contrast with fewer competitive starts on LIV Golf, while Ludvig Aberg's rapid rise (5.7%) and Bryson DeChambeau's par-5 prowess (5.5%) highlight power advantages in a wide-open field favoring iron precision, course history, and putting on tricky greens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Jon Rahm 6.7%
Ludvig Aberg 5.7%
$51,729,159 Vol.
$51,729,159 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Jon Rahm
7%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Bryson Dechambeau
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sergio Garcia
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Jon Rahm 6.7%
Ludvig Aberg 5.7%
$51,729,159 Vol.
$51,729,159 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Jon Rahm
7%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Bryson Dechambeau
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sergio Garcia
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and status as defending champion drive his commanding 17.5% implied probability, bolstered by recent victories at the Genesis and Players Championship amid a hand injury recovery that hasn't slowed his momentum. Rory McIlroy trails at 8.5% despite strong driving distance, but his history of late-round collapses at Augusta tempers trader confidence in his Grand Slam quest. Jon Rahm's 2023 green jacket and major pedigree (6.7%) contrast with fewer competitive starts on LIV Golf, while Ludvig Aberg's rapid rise (5.7%) and Bryson DeChambeau's par-5 prowess (5.5%) highlight power advantages in a wide-open field favoring iron precision, course history, and putting on tricky greens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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