Ignacio Buse's momentum from a hard-fought 7-6(5), 6-7(2), 6-4 upset over powerful Matteo Berrettini in the Grand Prix Hassan II R32 has edged trader consensus to a slim 54.5% implied probability favoring the No. 7 seed and world No. 59 Peruvian on Marrakech's outdoor clay. The 22-year-old's rising form contrasts with Camilo Ugo Carabelli's 4-8 YTD record, though the Argentine No. 67 holds a 1-0 clay head-to-head edge from their 2024 Santiago Challenger clash and grinded past qualifier Timofey Skatov 6-7(2), 6-3, 6-4. Close odds reflect both baseliners' endurance in three-set openers and clay affinity, with potential fatigue, late scratches, or warm conditions tipping the round of 16 balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedThis market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Ignacio Buse.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Ignacio Buse.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Ignacio Buse's momentum from a hard-fought 7-6(5), 6-7(2), 6-4 upset over powerful Matteo Berrettini in the Grand Prix Hassan II R32 has edged trader consensus to a slim 54.5% implied probability favoring the No. 7 seed and world No. 59 Peruvian on Marrakech's outdoor clay. The 22-year-old's rising form contrasts with Camilo Ugo Carabelli's 4-8 YTD record, though the Argentine No. 67 holds a 1-0 clay head-to-head edge from their 2024 Santiago Challenger clash and grinded past qualifier Timofey Skatov 6-7(2), 6-3, 6-4. Close odds reflect both baseliners' endurance in three-set openers and clay affinity, with potential fatigue, late scratches, or warm conditions tipping the round of 16 balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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