Nicolas Jarry enters as the clear trader favorite against Mattia Bellucci in the Miami Open qualifying round, with market odds reflecting his superior ranking (No. 34 vs. Bellucci's No. 138) and hard-court prowess, where he's posted a 65% win rate over the past year. Jarry's recent form includes a third-round run at Indian Wells last week, building momentum on fast outdoor hard courts like Crandon Park, while Bellucci relies on qualifier grit after scraping through lower-tier Challengers. No head-to-head exists, but Jarry's big serve and baseline power give him an edge in Miami's humid conditions; watch for Bellucci's counterpunching if Jarry's return game falters early. Upsets occur in qualifiers, but trader consensus prices Jarry at around 80% implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated1st Set
This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Nicolas Jarry.
This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jarry' if Nicolas Jarry advances against Mattia Bellucci.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...1st Set
This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Nicolas Jarry.
This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jarry' if Nicolas Jarry advances against Mattia Bellucci.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolas Jarry enters as the clear trader favorite against Mattia Bellucci in the Miami Open qualifying round, with market odds reflecting his superior ranking (No. 34 vs. Bellucci's No. 138) and hard-court prowess, where he's posted a 65% win rate over the past year. Jarry's recent form includes a third-round run at Indian Wells last week, building momentum on fast outdoor hard courts like Crandon Park, while Bellucci relies on qualifier grit after scraping through lower-tier Challengers. No head-to-head exists, but Jarry's big serve and baseline power give him an edge in Miami's humid conditions; watch for Bellucci's counterpunching if Jarry's return game falters early. Upsets occur in qualifiers, but trader consensus prices Jarry at around 80% implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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