Independiente's 1-0 victory over Racing Club in the Avellaneda derby on April 4 propelled trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the home win, reflecting the official Liga Profesional result from matchday 13 of the Torneo Apertura 2026 at Estadio Libertadores de América. Gabriel Ávalos's 81st-minute goal proved decisive after Racing missed a first-half penalty from Adrián "Maravilla" Martínez, in a tense, low-scoring clash marked by few clear chances and strong defensive stands. Independiente's clinical finishing and home form boosted their push into the top eight standings, while Racing's profligacy extended their derby struggles. Realistic challenges to resolution would require rare events like a successful league protest or administrative overturn, though none are indicated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If CA Independiente wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbolResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If CA Independiente wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbolResolver
0x69c47De9D...Independiente's 1-0 victory over Racing Club in the Avellaneda derby on April 4 propelled trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the home win, reflecting the official Liga Profesional result from matchday 13 of the Torneo Apertura 2026 at Estadio Libertadores de América. Gabriel Ávalos's 81st-minute goal proved decisive after Racing missed a first-half penalty from Adrián "Maravilla" Martínez, in a tense, low-scoring clash marked by few clear chances and strong defensive stands. Independiente's clinical finishing and home form boosted their push into the top eight standings, while Racing's profligacy extended their derby struggles. Realistic challenges to resolution would require rare events like a successful league protest or administrative overturn, though none are indicated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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