Hannah Harper's commanding lead at 50.5% implied probability stems from her standout Top 20 performances, including a powerhouse "Ain't No Grave" and heartfelt country rendition of "Go Rest High on That Mountain," earning her the most popular votes for the second straight round and positioning her as the clear frontrunner among traders betting on fan-driven momentum. Brooks Rosser trails at 19.5% thanks to his unexpected Top 20 advancement and unique vocals on tracks like "Dancing on My Own," surprising audiences with raw talent from minimal experience. Recent Top 20 reveals and performances last week solidified this hierarchy, but live voting episodes loom, where viewer turnout and judge saves could spark upsets in this volatile competition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAmerican Idol Season 24 Winner
American Idol Season 24 Winner
Hannah Harper 51%
Brooks Rosser 20%
Daniel Stallworth 6.8%
Genevieve Heyward 6.8%
Hannah Harper
51%
Brooks Rosser
20%
Daniel Stallworth
7%
Genevieve Heyward
7%
Bella Emry
7%
Chris Tungseth
7%
Jacquie Lee
7%
Chloe Lauren
7%
Abayomi
7%
Keyla Richardson
7%
Kiera Howell
7%
Sheldon Riley
7%
Michael Garner
7%
Rae
7%
Kutter Bradley
6%
Jordan McCullough
6%
Brianna Yancey
6%
Brenna Brigman
6%
Bryant Thomas
6%
Kyndal Inskeep
6%
Braden Rumfelt
6%
Ruby Rae
3%
Jake Thistle
6%
Madison Moon
6%
Tianna Roberts
7%
Jesse Findling
7%
Julian Kalel
6%
Lucas Leon
7%
Makiyah
6%
Philmon Lee
6%
Hannah Harper 51%
Brooks Rosser 20%
Daniel Stallworth 6.8%
Genevieve Heyward 6.8%
Hannah Harper
51%
Brooks Rosser
20%
Daniel Stallworth
7%
Genevieve Heyward
7%
Bella Emry
7%
Chris Tungseth
7%
Jacquie Lee
7%
Chloe Lauren
7%
Abayomi
7%
Keyla Richardson
7%
Kiera Howell
7%
Sheldon Riley
7%
Michael Garner
7%
Rae
7%
Kutter Bradley
6%
Jordan McCullough
6%
Brianna Yancey
6%
Brenna Brigman
6%
Bryant Thomas
6%
Kyndal Inskeep
6%
Braden Rumfelt
6%
Ruby Rae
3%
Jake Thistle
6%
Madison Moon
6%
Tianna Roberts
7%
Jesse Findling
7%
Julian Kalel
6%
Lucas Leon
7%
Makiyah
6%
Philmon Lee
6%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins Season 24 of American Idol.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of the show, American Idol, and ABC.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins Season 24 of American Idol.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of the show, American Idol, and ABC.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hannah Harper's commanding lead at 50.5% implied probability stems from her standout Top 20 performances, including a powerhouse "Ain't No Grave" and heartfelt country rendition of "Go Rest High on That Mountain," earning her the most popular votes for the second straight round and positioning her as the clear frontrunner among traders betting on fan-driven momentum. Brooks Rosser trails at 19.5% thanks to his unexpected Top 20 advancement and unique vocals on tracks like "Dancing on My Own," surprising audiences with raw talent from minimal experience. Recent Top 20 reveals and performances last week solidified this hierarchy, but live voting episodes loom, where viewer turnout and judge saves could spark upsets in this volatile competition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions