Trader consensus slightly favors Aryna Sabalenka at 26.5% implied probability for the 2026 Wimbledon women's title, driven by her explosive serve and grass-court power that shone in recent majors, though a 2024 shoulder injury withdrawal underscores vulnerability. Elena Rybakina's 19% share reflects her 2022 SW19 triumph and consistent deep runs, bolstered by elite serve-hold rates on turf. Iga Świątek's near-parity at 18.9% stems from her world No. 1 dominance despite grass struggles, with potential adaptation over two years. The tight top trio highlights WTA depth, injury risks, emerging teens like Mirra Andreeva, and grass's unpredictability, where upsets abound amid long-term form shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 27%
Elena Rybakina 20%
Iga Świątek 19.4%
Coco Gauff 5%
$2,249,515 Vol.
$2,249,515 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Elena Rybakina
20%
Iga Świątek
19%
Coco Gauff
5%
Victoria Mboko
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Emma Navarro
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Linda Nosková
2%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Marta Kostyuk
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 27%
Elena Rybakina 20%
Iga Świątek 19.4%
Coco Gauff 5%
$2,249,515 Vol.
$2,249,515 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Elena Rybakina
20%
Iga Świątek
19%
Coco Gauff
5%
Victoria Mboko
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Emma Navarro
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Linda Nosková
2%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Marta Kostyuk
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors Aryna Sabalenka at 26.5% implied probability for the 2026 Wimbledon women's title, driven by her explosive serve and grass-court power that shone in recent majors, though a 2024 shoulder injury withdrawal underscores vulnerability. Elena Rybakina's 19% share reflects her 2022 SW19 triumph and consistent deep runs, bolstered by elite serve-hold rates on turf. Iga Świątek's near-parity at 18.9% stems from her world No. 1 dominance despite grass struggles, with potential adaptation over two years. The tight top trio highlights WTA depth, injury risks, emerging teens like Mirra Andreeva, and grass's unpredictability, where upsets abound amid long-term form shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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