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Sports·CWBB

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

Market icon
Sports·CWBB

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

UConn 59%

Texas 14.4%

UCLA 13%

South Carolina 10.3%

Polymarket

$200,066 Vol.

UConn 59%

Texas 14.4%

UCLA 13%

South Carolina 10.3%

Polymarket

$200,066 Vol.

UConn

$26,298 Vol.

59%

Texas

$23,147 Vol.

14%

UCLA

$8,683 Vol.

13%

South Carolina

$30,751 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.UConn holds a commanding 56% implied probability as trader consensus favorite for the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament championship, bolstered by their undefeated 34-0 regular season, dominant Elite Eight routs holding foes under 50 points per game while scoring 89, and ESPN Analytics' pre-tournament 48% win projection that has risen post-Sweet 16 advances. Key stars Azzi Fudd and Sarah Strong anchor the top-ranked Huskies into a Final Four semifinal against South Carolina, whom they crushed 82-59 in last year's title game. Texas (14.3%), UCLA (12.5%), and South Carolina (10.3%) trail as fellow No. 1 seeds after breezing through early rounds, with UCLA-Texas semifinal looming; all reflect skin-in-the-game sentiment on path strength, home-court edges, and upset potential in this loaded field.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$200,066
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 7:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.UConn holds a commanding 56% implied probability as trader consensus favorite for the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament championship, bolstered by their undefeated 34-0 regular season, dominant Elite Eight routs holding foes under 50 points per game while scoring 89, and ESPN Analytics' pre-tournament 48% win projection that has risen post-Sweet 16 advances. Key stars Azzi Fudd and Sarah Strong anchor the top-ranked Huskies into a Final Four semifinal against South Carolina, whom they crushed 82-59 in last year's title game. Texas (14.3%), UCLA (12.5%), and South Carolina (10.3%) trail as fellow No. 1 seeds after breezing through early rounds, with UCLA-Texas semifinal looming; all reflect skin-in-the-game sentiment on path strength, home-court edges, and upset potential in this loaded field.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$200,066
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 7:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Related

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Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

35%
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Will Illinois advance to the National Championship?

55%
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Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?

52%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 74+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "UConn" at 59%, followed by "Texas" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" has generated $200.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner," browse the 74+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" is "UConn" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Texas" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.