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Sports·CWBB

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

Market icon
Sports·CWBB

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

UConn 64%

Texas 13.6%

South Carolina 11.1%

UCLA 11%

Polymarket

$199,330 Vol.

UConn 64%

Texas 13.6%

South Carolina 11.1%

UCLA 11%

Polymarket

$199,330 Vol.

UConn

$26,054 Vol.

64%

Texas

$22,862 Vol.

14%

South Carolina

$30,613 Vol.

11%

UCLA

$8,614 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.UConn's perfect 38-0 record and dominant efficiency—averaging 89 points while holding foes to 50 on 53% shooting—have solidified trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the Huskies to repeat as NCAA Tournament national champions, especially after breezing to the Final Four as a No. 1 seed for the 13th straight title-contending run. Texas (13.2%), UCLA (11.0%), and South Carolina (10.8%) trail as fellow top seeds with strong marks (35-3, 35-1, 35-3), but recent Elite 8 advances highlight UConn's edge in a repeat Final Four matchup, pitting the defending champs against South Carolina in Friday's semifinal rematch of last year's title rout, while Texas faces UCLA. No major injuries reported, though stylistic edges and rest advantages loom large.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$199,330
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 7:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.UConn's perfect 38-0 record and dominant efficiency—averaging 89 points while holding foes to 50 on 53% shooting—have solidified trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the Huskies to repeat as NCAA Tournament national champions, especially after breezing to the Final Four as a No. 1 seed for the 13th straight title-contending run. Texas (13.2%), UCLA (11.0%), and South Carolina (10.8%) trail as fellow top seeds with strong marks (35-3, 35-1, 35-3), but recent Elite 8 advances highlight UConn's edge in a repeat Final Four matchup, pitting the defending champs against South Carolina in Friday's semifinal rematch of last year's title rout, while Texas faces UCLA. No major injuries reported, though stylistic edges and rest advantages loom large.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$199,330
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 7:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

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Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

35%
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Will Illinois advance to the National Championship?

55%
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Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?

52%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 74+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "UConn" at 64%, followed by "Texas" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" has generated $199.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner," browse the 74+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" is "UConn" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Texas" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.