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Sports·CWBB

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

Market icon
Sports·CWBB

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

$222,274 Vol.

Polymarket

$222,274 Vol.

South Carolina

$37,594 Vol.

65%

UCLA

$13,222 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.South Carolina leads trader consensus at 63% implied probability for the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament title after its dominant 62-48 Final Four semifinal upset over previously unbeaten UConn, snapping the Huskies' lengthy winning streak and showcasing the Gamecocks' smothering defense and physicality under Dawn Staley. UCLA holds at 36% following a gritty 51-44 win over Texas, relying on Lauren Betts' double-double and late defensive stands for the program's first championship game berth as a No. 1 seed, but facing a battle-tested South Carolina squad seeking its third national crown in five years amid the Sunday showdown in Phoenix. Both teams entered as top seeds with minimal losses, but the Gamecocks' recent momentum and title experience drive the market edge.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$222,274
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 7:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.South Carolina leads trader consensus at 63% implied probability for the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament title after its dominant 62-48 Final Four semifinal upset over previously unbeaten UConn, snapping the Huskies' lengthy winning streak and showcasing the Gamecocks' smothering defense and physicality under Dawn Staley. UCLA holds at 36% following a gritty 51-44 win over Texas, relying on Lauren Betts' double-double and late defensive stands for the program's first championship game berth as a No. 1 seed, but facing a battle-tested South Carolina squad seeking its third national crown in five years amid the Sunday showdown in Phoenix. Both teams entered as top seeds with minimal losses, but the Gamecocks' recent momentum and title experience drive the market edge.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$222,274
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 7:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

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Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

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Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?

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Will a 1 seed win the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?

75%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 74+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "South Carolina" at 65%, followed by "UCLA" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" has generated $222.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner," browse the 74+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" is "South Carolina" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "UCLA" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.