Aryna Sabalenka's dominant path to the 2026 Miami Open final, including a straight-sets semifinal victory over Elena Rybakina, has solidified trader consensus at 89% implied probability, fueled by her world No. 1 status, 22-1 record this year, and pursuit of a second straight Sunshine Double after Indian Wells. The Belarusian's hard-court prowess shines on Miami's surface, with a 3-2 edge over Coco Gauff in their last five finals and an unbeaten set streak in recent Miami matches underscoring her edge. Gauff, at 12%, advanced past Karolina Muchova despite early arm injury concerns, leveraging home-crowd energy and defensive speed; an upset could hinge on extended rallies exposing Sabalenka's occasional errors or unforced mistakes under pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Women’s Miami Open Winner
2026 Women’s Miami Open Winner
$93,404 Vol.
$93,404 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
89%
Coco Gauff
11%
$93,404 Vol.
$93,404 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
89%
Coco Gauff
11%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Aryna Sabalenka's dominant path to the 2026 Miami Open final, including a straight-sets semifinal victory over Elena Rybakina, has solidified trader consensus at 89% implied probability, fueled by her world No. 1 status, 22-1 record this year, and pursuit of a second straight Sunshine Double after Indian Wells. The Belarusian's hard-court prowess shines on Miami's surface, with a 3-2 edge over Coco Gauff in their last five finals and an unbeaten set streak in recent Miami matches underscoring her edge. Gauff, at 12%, advanced past Karolina Muchova despite early arm injury concerns, leveraging home-crowd energy and defensive speed; an upset could hinge on extended rallies exposing Sabalenka's occasional errors or unforced mistakes under pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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