Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women’s Miami Open title, fueled by her sustained hard-court dominance, including the 2024 Australian Open win and consistent deep runs in WTA 1000 events like Indian Wells, where her power serve and baseline aggression thrive on the fast Miami surface. Elena Rybakina's 26.5% follows strong recent form, highlighted by her Doha title and quarterfinal showings in recent hard-court swings, bolstered by her flat-hitting style suiting the conditions despite occasional injury setbacks. Karolina Muchova at 14.4% gains from her comeback trajectory post-elbow surgery, upsetting top seeds at the 2024 US Open and Guadalajara, signaling grass-to-hard adaptability. Coco Gauff's 13.0% reflects her youth and upward trajectory as world No. 3, with home-continent support and improving serve-return metrics, though consistency lags behind the leaders. No major injuries reported among the top four in the past week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Women’s Miami Open Winner
2026 Women’s Miami Open Winner
Aryna Sabalenka 42%
Elena Rybakina 27%
Karolina Muchova 14.5%
Coco Gauff 13%
$76,054 Vol.
$76,054 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
42%
Elena Rybakina
27%
Karolina Muchova
14%
Coco Gauff
13%
Aryna Sabalenka 42%
Elena Rybakina 27%
Karolina Muchova 14.5%
Coco Gauff 13%
$76,054 Vol.
$76,054 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
42%
Elena Rybakina
27%
Karolina Muchova
14%
Coco Gauff
13%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women’s Miami Open title, fueled by her sustained hard-court dominance, including the 2024 Australian Open win and consistent deep runs in WTA 1000 events like Indian Wells, where her power serve and baseline aggression thrive on the fast Miami surface. Elena Rybakina's 26.5% follows strong recent form, highlighted by her Doha title and quarterfinal showings in recent hard-court swings, bolstered by her flat-hitting style suiting the conditions despite occasional injury setbacks. Karolina Muchova at 14.4% gains from her comeback trajectory post-elbow surgery, upsetting top seeds at the 2024 US Open and Guadalajara, signaling grass-to-hard adaptability. Coco Gauff's 13.0% reflects her youth and upward trajectory as world No. 3, with home-continent support and improving serve-return metrics, though consistency lags behind the leaders. No major injuries reported among the top four in the past week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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