Trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive race for the 2026 Women's French Open title at Roland Garros, with Iga Świątek's 25.5% implied probability narrowly ahead of Aryna Sabalenka's 24.0%, underscoring the depth and volatility in WTA clay-court dynamics. Świątek's clay supremacy—four prior Grand Slam titles there, capped by her dominant 2024 run through Madrid, Rome, and the tournament itself—drives her edge, reinforced by a straight-sets WTA Finals victory over Sabalenka last weekend. Yet Sabalenka's blistering power game, fueling Australian Open and US Open wins this year, keeps her glued tight, especially as her semifinal finish at Roland Garros 2023 exposed clay vulnerabilities in the field. Elena Rybakina's all-surface threat and Coco Gauff's breakout potential heighten contention, with offseason quiet leaving futures sensitive to 2025 form shifts, injuries, and rankings battles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedIga Świątek 26%
Aryna Sabalenka 24%
Elena Rybakina 17.9%
Coco Gauff 9%
$1,848,814 Vol.
$1,848,814 Vol.
Iga Świątek
26%
Aryna Sabalenka
24%
Elena Rybakina
13%
Coco Gauff
9%
Jessica Pegula
6%
Jasmine Paolini
5%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Elina Svitolina
3%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Naomi Osaka
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Iga Świątek 26%
Aryna Sabalenka 24%
Elena Rybakina 17.9%
Coco Gauff 9%
$1,848,814 Vol.
$1,848,814 Vol.
Iga Świątek
26%
Aryna Sabalenka
24%
Elena Rybakina
13%
Coco Gauff
9%
Jessica Pegula
6%
Jasmine Paolini
5%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Elina Svitolina
3%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Naomi Osaka
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive race for the 2026 Women's French Open title at Roland Garros, with Iga Świątek's 25.5% implied probability narrowly ahead of Aryna Sabalenka's 24.0%, underscoring the depth and volatility in WTA clay-court dynamics. Świątek's clay supremacy—four prior Grand Slam titles there, capped by her dominant 2024 run through Madrid, Rome, and the tournament itself—drives her edge, reinforced by a straight-sets WTA Finals victory over Sabalenka last weekend. Yet Sabalenka's blistering power game, fueling Australian Open and US Open wins this year, keeps her glued tight, especially as her semifinal finish at Roland Garros 2023 exposed clay vulnerabilities in the field. Elena Rybakina's all-surface threat and Coco Gauff's breakout potential heighten contention, with offseason quiet leaving futures sensitive to 2025 form shifts, injuries, and rankings battles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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