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2026 Women’s BNP Paribas Open Winner

Market icon

2026 Women’s BNP Paribas Open Winner

Aryna Sabalenka 59%

Elena Rybakina 38%

Elina Svitolina 6.2%

Iga Świątek <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$13,402 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 59%

Elena Rybakina 38%

Elina Svitolina 6.2%

Iga Świątek <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$13,402 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$2,664 Vol.

59%

Elena Rybakina

$255 Vol.

38%

Elina Svitolina

$268 Vol.

6%

Iga Świątek

$2,257 Vol.

<1%

Jessica Pegula

$2,037 Vol.

<1%

Victoria Mboko

$1,901 Vol.

<1%

Talia Gibson

$1,883 Vol.

<1%

Linda Nosková

$2,138 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,402
End Date
Mar 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 12, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 1 - March 15, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the BNP Paribas Open (https://bnpparibasopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s BNP Paribas Open Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 59%, followed by "Elena Rybakina" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s BNP Paribas Open Winner" has generated $13.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s BNP Paribas Open Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s BNP Paribas Open Winner" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elena Rybakina" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s BNP Paribas Open Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.