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icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Carlos Alcaraz 57%

Alexander Zverev 22.4%

Ben Shelton 9.6%

Frances Tiafoe 3.5%

Polymarket

$21,929,530 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 57%

Alexander Zverev 22.4%

Ben Shelton 9.6%

Frances Tiafoe 3.5%

Polymarket

$21,929,530 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz

$2,031,375 Vol.

57%

Alexander Zverev

$947,041 Vol.

22%

Ben Shelton

$747,529 Vol.

10%

Frances Tiafoe

$658,259 Vol.

4%

Learner Tien

$452,010 Vol.

3%

Alex Michelsen

$344,353 Vol.

2%

Alexander Blockx

$349,820 Vol.

1%

Karen Khachanov

$364,563 Vol.

1%

Francisco Cerundolo

$295,592 Vol.

1%

Luciano Darderi

$311,964 Vol.

<1%

Casper Ruud

$23,618 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 57.5% implied probability due to his commanding early-round form upon returning from a multi-month wrist injury absence, including straight-sets victories that have shown little rust on hard courts. Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament withdrawal with a knee injury removed the top seed and reshuffled the bracket in Alcaraz’s favor as defending champion. Alexander Zverev sits at 22.4% on the strength of his French Open title, Wimbledon final appearance, and overall 2026 consistency, though he has faced extended matches in New York. Ben Shelton’s 9.6% reflects his athletic power and recent quarterfinal advancement after a straight-sets win over Stefanos Tsitsipas, setting up a matchup against Alcaraz. Lower-priced Americans such as Frances Tiafoe and Learner Tien hold smaller shares tied to home-surface familiarity and draw position, while the field remains open given typical Grand Slam variance.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,929,530
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 57.5% implied probability due to his commanding early-round form upon returning from a multi-month wrist injury absence, including straight-sets victories that have shown little rust on hard courts. Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament withdrawal with a knee injury removed the top seed and reshuffled the bracket in Alcaraz’s favor as defending champion. Alexander Zverev sits at 22.4% on the strength of his French Open title, Wimbledon final appearance, and overall 2026 consistency, though he has faced extended matches in New York. Ben Shelton’s 9.6% reflects his athletic power and recent quarterfinal advancement after a straight-sets win over Stefanos Tsitsipas, setting up a matchup against Alcaraz. Lower-priced Americans such as Frances Tiafoe and Learner Tien hold smaller shares tied to home-surface familiarity and draw position, while the field remains open given typical Grand Slam variance.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,929,530
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 57%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $21.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.