Market icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Market icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain 15.4%

England 13.3%

Argentina 11.6%

France 10.8%

Polymarket

$280,054,435 Vol.

Spain 15.4%

England 13.3%

Argentina 11.6%

France 10.8%

Polymarket

$280,054,435 Vol.

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Spain

$3,452,936 Vol.

15%

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England

$2,827,371 Vol.

13%

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Argentina

$3,619,361 Vol.

12%

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France

$2,975,201 Vol.

11%

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Brazil

$3,315,337 Vol.

9%

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Portugal

$6,675,731 Vol.

7%

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Germany

$5,038,924 Vol.

5%

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Norway

$6,096,783 Vol.

3%

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Netherlands

$5,879,754 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$4,761,760 Vol.

2%

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Colombia

$3,996,442 Vol.

2%

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Belgium

$5,198,898 Vol.

2%

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USA

$3,353,359 Vol.

2%

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Japan

$6,052,239 Vol.

2%

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Morocco

$5,251,185 Vol.

2%

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Croatia

$5,631,499 Vol.

1%

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Mexico

$5,459,870 Vol.

1%

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Uruguay

$4,241,890 Vol.

1%

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Ecuador

$5,188,625 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$6,614,750 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$6,476,986 Vol.

1%

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South Korea

$7,308,450 Vol.

1%

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Austria

$6,719,232 Vol.

1%

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Canada

$8,602,917 Vol.

<1%

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Scotland

$7,423,079 Vol.

<1%

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Ivory Coast

$5,387,324 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguay

$8,354,278 Vol.

<1%

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Egypt

$6,814,868 Vol.

<1%

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Australia

$6,020,890 Vol.

<1%

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Algeria

$4,937,050 Vol.

<1%

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South Africa

$15,201,424 Vol.

<1%

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Qatar

$7,749,132 Vol.

<1%

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New Zealand

$11,277,775 Vol.

<1%

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Haiti

$7,040,106 Vol.

<1%

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Jordan

$10,991,344 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$9,541,947 Vol.

<1%

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Iran

$6,922,805 Vol.

<1%

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Ghana

$3,533,137 Vol.

<1%

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Tunisia

$4,851,708 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbekistan

$22,911,731 Vol.

<1%

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Cape Verde

$5,403,430 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Arabia

$10,688,317 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$280,054,435
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 15%, followed by "England" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " has generated $280.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " is "Spain" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "England" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.