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Sports·Soccer

2025-2026 FA Cup Winner

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

2025-2026 FA Cup Winner

Manchester City 60%

Chelsea 22%

Leeds United AFC 8.8%

West Ham United 6.5%

Polymarket

$400,742 Vol.

Manchester City 60%

Chelsea 22%

Leeds United AFC 8.8%

West Ham United 6.5%

Polymarket

$400,742 Vol.

Manchester City

$7,606 Vol.

60%

Chelsea

$32,188 Vol.

22%

Leeds United AFC

$1,881 Vol.

9%

West Ham United

$518 Vol.

6%

Southampton

$708 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Manchester City's commanding 4-0 quarter-final victory over Liverpool has cemented their position as trader consensus favorite at 59.5% implied probability, bolstered by an unbeaten run in 17 home FA Cup ties and second place in the Premier League standings behind leaders Arsenal. Chelsea's emphatic 7-0 thrashing of Port Vale elevates them to 24%, reflecting their potent attack and cup pedigree under recent squad investments. Leeds United (8.9%) edge West Ham (6.9%) ahead of their decisive quarter-final clash today, with Leeds' strong Championship form and head-to-head edge informing trader sentiment for the last semi-final spot. Southampton's shock 2-1 upset of Arsenal yields just 3%, underscoring their underdog status as a lower-tier side despite advancing. Semi-final draw follows today's result.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$400,742
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Manchester City's commanding 4-0 quarter-final victory over Liverpool has cemented their position as trader consensus favorite at 59.5% implied probability, bolstered by an unbeaten run in 17 home FA Cup ties and second place in the Premier League standings behind leaders Arsenal. Chelsea's emphatic 7-0 thrashing of Port Vale elevates them to 24%, reflecting their potent attack and cup pedigree under recent squad investments. Leeds United (8.9%) edge West Ham (6.9%) ahead of their decisive quarter-final clash today, with Leeds' strong Championship form and head-to-head edge informing trader sentiment for the last semi-final spot. Southampton's shock 2-1 upset of Arsenal yields just 3%, underscoring their underdog status as a lower-tier side despite advancing. Semi-final draw follows today's result.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$400,742
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2025-2026 FA Cup Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 32 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Manchester City" at 60%, followed by "Chelsea" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2025-2026 FA Cup Winner" has generated $400.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2025-2026 FA Cup Winner," browse the 32 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025-2026 FA Cup Winner" is "Manchester City" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chelsea" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025-2026 FA Cup Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.