Fed decision in January?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed decision in January?

98%

No change

$452m Vol.

$9m today

$20m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 5 days

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Fed Rates

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

44%

Kevin Warsh

$243m Vol.

$8m today

$7m Liq.

625

Ends in 11 months

Fed decision in March?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed decision in March?

84%

No change

$3m Vol.

$191k today

$618k Liq.

418

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Fed Rates

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

27%

3 (75 bps)

$3m Vol.

$157k today

$836k Liq.

30

Ends in 11 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed Rates

Finance

Fed rate cut by...?

68%

June Meeting

$456k Vol.

$104k Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

Fed decision in April?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed decision in April?

73%

No change

$753k Vol.

$348k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Fed Rates

Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

8%

May 14

$602k Vol.

$146k Liq.

26

Ends in 4 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Fed Rates

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

41%

4.4%

$58.0k Vol.

$19.7k Liq.

7

Ends in 2 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Fed Rates

Politics

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

93%

↓ 3.25%

$474k Vol.

$179k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Fed Rates

Politics

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

76%

3.9%

$26.8k Vol.

$7.4k Liq.

1

Ends in 11 months

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

Fed Rates

Politics

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

99%

June 30, 2026

$331k Vol.

$30.3k Liq.

13

Ends in 8 days

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Fed Rates

Finance

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

98%

Cut–Cut–Pause

$974k Vol.

$77.1k Liq.

15

Ends in 8 days

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Fed Rates

Finance

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

78%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$489k Vol.

$103k Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Fed Rates

Politics

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

11%

$125k Vol.

$17.5k Liq.

32

Ends in 5 months

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

Fed Rates

Trump

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

34%

$19.7k Vol.

$3.9k Liq.

2

Ends in 8 days

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Fed Rates

Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

32%

3.0%

$64.7k Vol.

$186k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

Fed Rates

Politics

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

3%

February 28, 2026

$10m Vol.

$4.8k Liq.

1,096

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Fed Rates

Politics

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

1%

$99.9k Vol.

$26.9k Liq.

2

Ends in 8 days

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed Decision in June?

49%

25 bps decrease

$5.9k Vol.

$157k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Fed Rates

Politics

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

74%

December 31

$67.0k Vol.

$11.8k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months