Ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas, mediated by the US, Qatar, and Egypt, continue amid stalled progress on core demands, with Hamas firmly rejecting disarmament or demilitarization of Gaza. In the past week, Hamas countered a US-backed proposal for a 60-day truce and phased hostage releases by insisting on a permanent end to the war, full Israeli troop withdrawal, and no restrictions on its armed presence—prompting Israeli officials to deem it unacceptable. Israeli airstrikes and ground operations in Gaza persist, pressuring Hamas leadership while underscoring demilitarization as a red line for Jerusalem. Upcoming Doha talks may focus on hostages, but historical patterns suggest disarmament remains unlikely without battlefield collapse or major concessions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Hamás aceptará desarmarse antes de...?
¿Hamás aceptará desarmarse antes de...?
$1,613,135 Vol.
31 de marzo de 2026
1%
30 de junio de 2026
24%
$1,613,135 Vol.
31 de marzo de 2026
1%
30 de junio de 2026
24%
Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
Only official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
Primary resolution sources will include official statements from Hamas leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
Only official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
Primary resolution sources will include official statements from Hamas leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas, mediated by the US, Qatar, and Egypt, continue amid stalled progress on core demands, with Hamas firmly rejecting disarmament or demilitarization of Gaza. In the past week, Hamas countered a US-backed proposal for a 60-day truce and phased hostage releases by insisting on a permanent end to the war, full Israeli troop withdrawal, and no restrictions on its armed presence—prompting Israeli officials to deem it unacceptable. Israeli airstrikes and ground operations in Gaza persist, pressuring Hamas leadership while underscoring demilitarization as a red line for Jerusalem. Upcoming Doha talks may focus on hostages, but historical patterns suggest disarmament remains unlikely without battlefield collapse or major concessions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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