A US-brokered ceasefire in Gaza has held without full-scale resumption of hostilities since October 2025, yet Israeli forces have expanded control to roughly two-thirds of the territory beyond the agreed “yellow line,” conducted repeated strikes that killed over 1,400 Palestinians, and blocked entry of a new Palestinian administration. Plans for an International Stabilization Force (ISF) under US Major General Jasper Jeffers, with troop pledges from Morocco, Kosovo, Albania, and others, remain stalled one year later amid disputes over Hamas disarmament sequencing, Israeli elections scheduled for late October 2026, and earlier regional distractions from the Iran conflict. A pending UN Security Council resolution seeks to authorize and accelerate ISF deployment to support demilitarization, border security, and aid corridors, though force generation has scaled back from original targets and faces Israeli approval requirements. These implementation frictions, combined with humanitarian constraints and reconstruction delays, shape trader assessments of near-term foreign military or stabilization involvement.
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