Greta Thunberg’s pattern of participation in disruptive protests continues to shape trader views on arrest probabilities. Her December 2025 detention in London under the UK Terrorism Act for displaying support for the proscribed group Palestine Action, followed by bail and a later court appearance, established a recent precedent. In October 2026 she joined student demonstrations in France over school conditions and policing, publicly criticizing security responses while avoiding detention. Earlier UK oil-industry blockades resulted in charges but an October 2026 acquittal. Ongoing climate, pro-Palestinian, and related activism, combined with legal scrutiny in multiple jurisdictions, sustains market focus on the likelihood of further encounters with law enforcement during scheduled or spontaneous events.