Trader consensus strongly favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 93% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential IPO filing reported on April 1, 2026, targeting a June debut potentially valued at $1.75 trillion—the largest ever. Key evidence includes Reuters and Bloomberg accounts of SpaceX negotiating early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion, enabled by Nasdaq's recent rule changes shortening public float and seasoning periods for megacap IPOs, aligning with Tesla's Nasdaq home. SpaceX's operational dominance—reusable Falcon 9 launches holding 90% commercial market share, Starlink's 4 million subscribers generating $10 billion annual recurring revenue, and Starship's heavy-lift progress—bolsters the timing. Realistic challenges include competitive NYSE bids or regulatory hurdles delaying resolution, with public S-1 filing expected within 90 days providing clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNASDAQ 93%
Other 5%
NYSE 2.1%
$70,810 Vol.
$70,810 Vol.
NASDAQ
93%
Other
5%
NYSE
2%
NASDAQ 93%
Other 5%
NYSE 2.1%
$70,810 Vol.
$70,810 Vol.
NASDAQ
$14,576 Vol.
93%
Other
$45,639 Vol.
5%
NYSE
$10,596 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus strongly favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 93% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential IPO filing reported on April 1, 2026, targeting a June debut potentially valued at $1.75 trillion—the largest ever. Key evidence includes Reuters and Bloomberg accounts of SpaceX negotiating early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion, enabled by Nasdaq's recent rule changes shortening public float and seasoning periods for megacap IPOs, aligning with Tesla's Nasdaq home. SpaceX's operational dominance—reusable Falcon 9 launches holding 90% commercial market share, Starlink's 4 million subscribers generating $10 billion annual recurring revenue, and Starship's heavy-lift progress—bolsters the timing. Realistic challenges include competitive NYSE bids or regulatory hurdles delaying resolution, with public S-1 filing expected within 90 days providing clarity.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volumen
$70,810Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus strongly favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 93% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential IPO filing reported on April 1, 2026, targeting a June debut potentially valued at $1.75 trillion—the largest ever. Key evidence includes Reuters and Bloomberg accounts of SpaceX negotiating early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion, enabled by Nasdaq's recent rule changes shortening public float and seasoning periods for megacap IPOs, aligning with Tesla's Nasdaq home. SpaceX's operational dominance—reusable Falcon 9 launches holding 90% commercial market share, Starlink's 4 million subscribers generating $10 billion annual recurring revenue, and Starship's heavy-lift progress—bolsters the timing. Realistic challenges include competitive NYSE bids or regulatory hurdles delaying resolution, with public S-1 filing expected within 90 days providing clarity.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$70,810Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 93% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential IPO filing reported on April 1, 2026, targeting a June debut potentially valued at $1.75 trillion—the largest ever. Key evidence includes Reuters and Bloomberg accounts of SpaceX negotiating early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion, enabled by Nasdaq's recent rule changes shortening public float and seasoning periods for megacap IPOs, aligning with Tesla's Nasdaq home. SpaceX's operational dominance—reusable Falcon 9 launches holding 90% commercial market share, Starlink's 4 million subscribers generating $10 billion annual recurring revenue, and Starship's heavy-lift progress—bolsters the timing. Realistic challenges include competitive NYSE bids or regulatory hurdles delaying resolution, with public S-1 filing expected within 90 days providing clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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