OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's position leads trader consensus with the highest implied probability of departure before year-end, propelled by April 2026 executive exits, a pointed New Yorker profile revisiting his 2023 ouster and alleging internal rifts like tensions with CFO Sarah Friar, alongside talent drain amid AI competitive pressures from Anthropic. Apple's Tim Cook trails closely, with Bloomberg's March reporting positioning hardware SVP John Ternus as frontrunner successor despite Cook's denial of imminent retirement; persistent board succession planning underscores aging leadership risks in hardware-software integration. Lower odds for Amazon's Andy Jassy, Google's Sundar Pichai, Coinbase's Brian Armstrong, and Twitch's Dan Clancy reflect relative stability post-layoffs and scandals. Earnings seasons and AI benchmarks ahead may swing sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$593,704 Vol.

Tim Cook - Apple
26%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
24%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
13%

Sundar Pichai - Google
11%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
11%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
5%
$593,704 Vol.

Tim Cook - Apple
26%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
24%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
13%

Sundar Pichai - Google
11%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
11%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
5%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's position leads trader consensus with the highest implied probability of departure before year-end, propelled by April 2026 executive exits, a pointed New Yorker profile revisiting his 2023 ouster and alleging internal rifts like tensions with CFO Sarah Friar, alongside talent drain amid AI competitive pressures from Anthropic. Apple's Tim Cook trails closely, with Bloomberg's March reporting positioning hardware SVP John Ternus as frontrunner successor despite Cook's denial of imminent retirement; persistent board succession planning underscores aging leadership risks in hardware-software integration. Lower odds for Amazon's Andy Jassy, Google's Sundar Pichai, Coinbase's Brian Armstrong, and Twitch's Dan Clancy reflect relative stability post-layoffs and scandals. Earnings seasons and AI benchmarks ahead may swing sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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