Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27 at 98.5¢, driven by preliminary FlightAware data already surpassing that threshold amid peak spring break travel volumes straining the national airspace system. TSA staffing shortages from the ongoing partial DHS shutdown have exacerbated disruptions with multi-hour security lines at major hubs, contributing to cascading delays, while FAA reports highlight high winds grounding or slowing flights at Northeast airports including JFK, LGA, EWR, and PHL. Recent storms earlier in March set a backdrop of vulnerability. Final counts could dip slightly if late-evening flights recover unexpectedly or data revisions occur, but such shifts appear improbable given confirmed operational metrics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNumber of US Flights Delayed March 27?
Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?
>6,000 98.6%
<3,000 1.0%
5,000-5,500 <1%
5,500-6,000 <1%
$9,785 Vol.
$9,785 Vol.
<3,000
1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
<1%
4,500-5,000
<1%
5,000-5,500
1%
5,500-6,000
1%
>6,000
99%
>6,000 98.6%
<3,000 1.0%
5,000-5,500 <1%
5,500-6,000 <1%
$9,785 Vol.
$9,785 Vol.
<3,000
1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
<1%
4,500-5,000
<1%
5,000-5,500
1%
5,500-6,000
1%
>6,000
99%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27 at 98.5¢, driven by preliminary FlightAware data already surpassing that threshold amid peak spring break travel volumes straining the national airspace system. TSA staffing shortages from the ongoing partial DHS shutdown have exacerbated disruptions with multi-hour security lines at major hubs, contributing to cascading delays, while FAA reports highlight high winds grounding or slowing flights at Northeast airports including JFK, LGA, EWR, and PHL. Recent storms earlier in March set a backdrop of vulnerability. Final counts could dip slightly if late-evening flights recover unexpectedly or data revisions occur, but such shifts appear improbable given confirmed operational metrics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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