Recent reports of an imminent SpaceX IPO filing this week, potentially raising over $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation—more than double its December 2025 $800 billion tender offer—have propelled the 70-80B outcome to a leading 26% market-implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on aggressive fundraising amid Starlink's revenue surge past $10 billion annualized and Starship milestones. Yet closely matched 50-60B (19%) and 60-70B (18%) odds highlight competitive dynamics, including valuation skepticism from limited financial disclosures, regulatory hurdles for satellite spectrum, and macro pressures like 4.5% Treasury yields curbing tech IPO appetite. Key differentiators: final prospectus dilution targets and pre-IPO roadshow reception, with June 2026 pricing as the pivotal catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$82,616 Vol.
$82,616 Vol.
<40B
6%
40-50B
15%
50-60B
19%
60-70B
18%
70-80B
26%
80-90B
14%
90-100B
5%
100-110B
1%
110-120B
1%
120 mil millones o más
2%
$82,616 Vol.
$82,616 Vol.
<40B
$8,494 Vol.
6%
40-50B
$4,961 Vol.
15%
50-60B
$15,387 Vol.
19%
60-70B
$7,316 Vol.
18%
70-80B
$10,779 Vol.
26%
80-90B
$7,357 Vol.
14%
90-100B
$7,729 Vol.
5%
100-110B
$5,899 Vol.
1%
110-120B
$7,620 Vol.
1%
120 mil millones o más
$7,073 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports of an imminent SpaceX IPO filing this week, potentially raising over $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation—more than double its December 2025 $800 billion tender offer—have propelled the 70-80B outcome to a leading 26% market-implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on aggressive fundraising amid Starlink's revenue surge past $10 billion annualized and Starship milestones. Yet closely matched 50-60B (19%) and 60-70B (18%) odds highlight competitive dynamics, including valuation skepticism from limited financial disclosures, regulatory hurdles for satellite spectrum, and macro pressures like 4.5% Treasury yields curbing tech IPO appetite. Key differentiators: final prospectus dilution targets and pre-IPO roadshow reception, with June 2026 pricing as the pivotal catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volumen
$82,616Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports of an imminent SpaceX IPO filing this week, potentially raising over $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation—more than double its December 2025 $800 billion tender offer—have propelled the 70-80B outcome to a leading 26% market-implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on aggressive fundraising amid Starlink's revenue surge past $10 billion annualized and Starship milestones. Yet closely matched 50-60B (19%) and 60-70B (18%) odds highlight competitive dynamics, including valuation skepticism from limited financial disclosures, regulatory hurdles for satellite spectrum, and macro pressures like 4.5% Treasury yields curbing tech IPO appetite. Key differentiators: final prospectus dilution targets and pre-IPO roadshow reception, with June 2026 pricing as the pivotal catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$82,616Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of an imminent SpaceX IPO filing this week, potentially raising over $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation—more than double its December 2025 $800 billion tender offer—have propelled the 70-80B outcome to a leading 26% market-implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on aggressive fundraising amid Starlink's revenue surge past $10 billion annualized and Starship milestones. Yet closely matched 50-60B (19%) and 60-70B (18%) odds highlight competitive dynamics, including valuation skepticism from limited financial disclosures, regulatory hurdles for satellite spectrum, and macro pressures like 4.5% Treasury yields curbing tech IPO appetite. Key differentiators: final prospectus dilution targets and pre-IPO roadshow reception, with June 2026 pricing as the pivotal catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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