Persistent expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation have propelled gold prices toward record highs, with spot GC trading near $2,335 after peaking above $2,450 in late May. Polymarket traders price a roughly 45% implied probability of closing above $2,350 by June 30, reflecting balanced sentiment on USD strength from robust U.S. jobs data offsetting central bank buying and geopolitical risks. Key catalysts ahead include June 12 CPI (forecast 3.4% YoY) and FOMC meeting, where market-implied odds show just 10bps cut priced in versus 70% chance of steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds rate. Sustained above $2,350 requires softer data to weaken the dollar further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
$40,745 Vol.
$8,000
2%
$7,000
11%
$6,500
5%
$6,200
9%
$6,000
10%
$5,800
21%
$5,600
26%
$5,400
28%
$5,200
40%
$5,000
38%
$4,800
46%
$4,600
51%
$40,745 Vol.
$8,000
2%
$7,000
11%
$6,500
5%
$6,200
9%
$6,000
10%
$5,800
21%
$5,600
26%
$5,400
28%
$5,200
40%
$5,000
38%
$4,800
46%
$4,600
51%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation have propelled gold prices toward record highs, with spot GC trading near $2,335 after peaking above $2,450 in late May. Polymarket traders price a roughly 45% implied probability of closing above $2,350 by June 30, reflecting balanced sentiment on USD strength from robust U.S. jobs data offsetting central bank buying and geopolitical risks. Key catalysts ahead include June 12 CPI (forecast 3.4% YoY) and FOMC meeting, where market-implied odds show just 10bps cut priced in versus 70% chance of steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds rate. Sustained above $2,350 requires softer data to weaken the dollar further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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