Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions have propelled WTI crude oil futures sharply higher, with June 2026 contracts trading around $98 per barrel, fueling trader consensus for a 68% implied probability of settling above $84 on Polymarket. Recent sessions saw front-month prices surge over 11% amid reports of attacks off Iran's coast and OPEC+ output plunging in March due to war-forced export cuts, overriding bearish U.S. EIA data showing crude inventories rising 5.5 million barrels to 461.6 million for the week ended March 27. An OPEC+ meeting on April 6 could signal further production adjustments, while sustained geopolitical risk premiums dominate amid building global supply concerns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿En qué se asentará el petróleo crudo (CL) en junio?
¿En qué se asentará el petróleo crudo (CL) en junio?
>$84 68%
$77-$84 14%
$70-$77 6.7%
$63-$70 4.5%
$100,873 Vol.
$100,873 Vol.
30 jun 2026
< $42
2%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
4%
$70-$77
7%
$77-$84
14%
>$84
68%
>$84 68%
$77-$84 14%
$70-$77 6.7%
$63-$70 4.5%
$100,873 Vol.
$100,873 Vol.
30 jun 2026
< $42
$4,302 Vol.
2%
$42-$49
$3,648 Vol.
2%
$49-$56
$4,977 Vol.
2%
$56-$63
$4,130 Vol.
4%
$63-$70
$16,667 Vol.
4%
$70-$77
$5,645 Vol.
7%
$77-$84
$8,676 Vol.
14%
>$84
$52,828 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions have propelled WTI crude oil futures sharply higher, with June 2026 contracts trading around $98 per barrel, fueling trader consensus for a 68% implied probability of settling above $84 on Polymarket. Recent sessions saw front-month prices surge over 11% amid reports of attacks off Iran's coast and OPEC+ output plunging in March due to war-forced export cuts, overriding bearish U.S. EIA data showing crude inventories rising 5.5 million barrels to 461.6 million for the week ended March 27. An OPEC+ meeting on April 6 could signal further production adjustments, while sustained geopolitical risk premiums dominate amid building global supply concerns.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volumen
$100,873Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions have propelled WTI crude oil futures sharply higher, with June 2026 contracts trading around $98 per barrel, fueling trader consensus for a 68% implied probability of settling above $84 on Polymarket. Recent sessions saw front-month prices surge over 11% amid reports of attacks off Iran's coast and OPEC+ output plunging in March due to war-forced export cuts, overriding bearish U.S. EIA data showing crude inventories rising 5.5 million barrels to 461.6 million for the week ended March 27. An OPEC+ meeting on April 6 could signal further production adjustments, while sustained geopolitical risk premiums dominate amid building global supply concerns.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$100,873Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions have propelled WTI crude oil futures sharply higher, with June 2026 contracts trading around $98 per barrel, fueling trader consensus for a 68% implied probability of settling above $84 on Polymarket. Recent sessions saw front-month prices surge over 11% amid reports of attacks off Iran's coast and OPEC+ output plunging in March due to war-forced export cuts, overriding bearish U.S. EIA data showing crude inventories rising 5.5 million barrels to 461.6 million for the week ended March 27. An OPEC+ meeting on April 6 could signal further production adjustments, while sustained geopolitical risk premiums dominate amid building global supply concerns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes