Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential elections during martial law, which President Zelenskyy and the Verkhovna Rada extended until May 4, 2026, in a January vote—the latest in a series of 90-day renewals since Russia's 2022 invasion. This structural barrier, combined with Zelenskyy's February statements tying any vote to a ceasefire and security guarantees, underpins trader consensus at 99.8% for "No," viewing his continued legitimacy as wartime leader despite the 2024 term expiry. Absent abrupt martial law repeal, impeachment proceedings, resignation announcement, health crisis, or coup—none indicated in recent diplomatic or domestic developments—the market sees negligible risk of removal by March 31.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$510,072 Vol.
$510,072 Vol.
Ja
$510,072 Vol.
$510,072 Vol.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 1, 2025, 7:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential elections during martial law, which President Zelenskyy and the Verkhovna Rada extended until May 4, 2026, in a January vote—the latest in a series of 90-day renewals since Russia's 2022 invasion. This structural barrier, combined with Zelenskyy's February statements tying any vote to a ceasefire and security guarantees, underpins trader consensus at 99.8% for "No," viewing his continued legitimacy as wartime leader despite the 2024 term expiry. Absent abrupt martial law repeal, impeachment proceedings, resignation announcement, health crisis, or coup—none indicated in recent diplomatic or domestic developments—the market sees negligible risk of removal by March 31.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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