President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 victory and subsequent active transition—marked by over 20 cabinet nominations and agency leader announcements in recent weeks—signal strong commitment to serving his full second term through 2029, driving trader consensus to a 93.5% implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026. No public statements, health disclosures, or impeachment pressures have emerged to suggest otherwise, with historical precedent showing mid-term resignations rare absent existential crises like Nixon's Watergate. Ongoing legal cases face DOJ policy pauses for sitting presidents, reducing risks. Potential shifters include late-breaking scandals, health events, or congressional actions, though none appear imminent ahead of January 20 inauguration.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$403,505 Vol.
$403,505 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Ja
$403,505 Vol.
$403,505 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 victory and subsequent active transition—marked by over 20 cabinet nominations and agency leader announcements in recent weeks—signal strong commitment to serving his full second term through 2029, driving trader consensus to a 93.5% implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026. No public statements, health disclosures, or impeachment pressures have emerged to suggest otherwise, with historical precedent showing mid-term resignations rare absent existential crises like Nixon's Watergate. Ongoing legal cases face DOJ policy pauses for sitting presidents, reducing risks. Potential shifters include late-breaking scandals, health events, or congressional actions, though none appear imminent ahead of January 20 inauguration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volumen
$403,505Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 victory and subsequent active transition—marked by over 20 cabinet nominations and agency leader announcements in recent weeks—signal strong commitment to serving his full second term through 2029, driving trader consensus to a 93.5% implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026. No public statements, health disclosures, or impeachment pressures have emerged to suggest otherwise, with historical precedent showing mid-term resignations rare absent existential crises like Nixon's Watergate. Ongoing legal cases face DOJ policy pauses for sitting presidents, reducing risks. Potential shifters include late-breaking scandals, health events, or congressional actions, though none appear imminent ahead of January 20 inauguration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$403,505Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 victory and subsequent active transition—marked by over 20 cabinet nominations and agency leader announcements in recent weeks—signal strong commitment to serving his full second term through 2029, driving trader consensus to a 93.5% implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026. No public statements, health disclosures, or impeachment pressures have emerged to suggest otherwise, with historical precedent showing mid-term resignations rare absent existential crises like Nixon's Watergate. Ongoing legal cases face DOJ policy pauses for sitting presidents, reducing risks. Potential shifters include late-breaking scandals, health events, or congressional actions, though none appear imminent ahead of January 20 inauguration.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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