Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by...?

YoutubeVideo LogoEnded

$1,545,908 Umsatz

Sep 10, 2025

Regeln

The Global Sumud Flotilla, including its partner initiatives, announced that it will launch a Flotilla towards Gaza from Spanish ports on August 31 and Tunisian ports on September 4. More information can be found here: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/31/gaza-humanitarian-flotilla-departs-barcelona-to-break-israeli-siege

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board any vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers, by September 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,545,908
Enddatum
Sep 30, 2025
Erstellt am
Aug 31, 2025, 1:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

Ergebnis vorgeschlagen: No

Kein Widerspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht vor externen Links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by...?

YoutubeVideo LogoEnded

$1,545,908 Umsatz

September 10

$69,545 Umsatz

No

September 15

$116,473 Umsatz

No

September 20

$127,981 Umsatz

No

September 27

$35,718 Umsatz

No

September 30

$860,084 Umsatz

No

October 3

$289,153 Umsatz

Yes

October 10

$46,954 Umsatz

Yes

Über

Volumen
$1,545,908
Enddatum
Sep 30, 2025
Erstellt am
Aug 31, 2025, 1:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

Vorsicht vor externen Links.