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Welt·Israel

Wird Israel eine große Bodenoffensive in Gaza starten, bis...?

Market icon
Welt·Israel

Wird Israel eine große Bodenoffensive in Gaza starten, bis...?

$492,364 Vol.

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$492,364 Vol.

Polymarket

31. März 2026

$320,604 Vol.

2%

30. Juni

$8,067 Vol.

16%

31. Dezember

$12,806 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Forces continue targeted raids and airstrikes in Gaza targeting Hamas infrastructure and leaders, including recent operations in Jabalia that killed senior commanders, but have refrained from a major ground offensive amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations. Diplomatic efforts intensified last week with US, Qatar, and Egypt mediators advancing a potential hostage-prisoner swap and 60-day truce proposal, following Hamas's response to prior terms. Prime Minister Netanyahu reiterated commitments to dismantle Hamas and secure hostages, balancing domestic protests urging de-escalation with security cabinet pressures for escalation. International scrutiny, including UN General Assembly debates and US election dynamics, weighs against broad invasion, while upcoming talks in Doha could tip toward truce or renewed military action by the market deadline.

Israeli Defense Forces continue targeted raids and airstrikes in Gaza targeting Hamas infrastructure and leaders, including recent operations in Jabalia that killed senior commanders, but have refrained from a major ground offensive amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations. Diplomatic efforts intensified last week with US, Qatar, and Egypt mediators advancing a potential hostage-prisoner swap and 60-day truce proposal, following Hamas's response to prior terms. Prime Minister Netanyahu reiterated commitments to dismantle Hamas and secure hostages, balancing domestic protests urging de-escalation with security cabinet pressures for escalation. International scrutiny, including UN General Assembly debates and US election dynamics, weighs against broad invasion, while upcoming talks in Doha could tip toward truce or renewed military action by the market deadline.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Forces continue targeted raids and airstrikes in Gaza targeting Hamas infrastructure and leaders, including recent operations in Jabalia that killed senior commanders, but have refrained from a major ground offensive amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations. Diplomatic efforts intensified last week with US, Qatar, and Egypt mediators advancing a potential hostage-prisoner swap and 60-day truce proposal, following Hamas's response to prior terms. Prime Minister Netanyahu reiterated commitments to dismantle Hamas and secure hostages, balancing domestic protests urging de-escalation with security cabinet pressures for escalation. International scrutiny, including UN General Assembly debates and US election dynamics, weighs against broad invasion, while upcoming talks in Doha could tip toward truce or renewed military action by the market deadline.

Israeli Defense Forces continue targeted raids and airstrikes in Gaza targeting Hamas infrastructure and leaders, including recent operations in Jabalia that killed senior commanders, but have refrained from a major ground offensive amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations. Diplomatic efforts intensified last week with US, Qatar, and Egypt mediators advancing a potential hostage-prisoner swap and 60-day truce proposal, following Hamas's response to prior terms. Prime Minister Netanyahu reiterated commitments to dismantle Hamas and secure hostages, balancing domestic protests urging de-escalation with security cabinet pressures for escalation. International scrutiny, including UN General Assembly debates and US election dynamics, weighs against broad invasion, while upcoming talks in Doha could tip toward truce or renewed military action by the market deadline.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird Israel eine große Bodenoffensive in Gaza starten, bis...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „31. Dezember" mit 38%, gefolgt von „30. Juni" mit 16%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 38¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 38% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wird Israel eine große Bodenoffensive in Gaza starten, bis...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $492.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Oct 19, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wird Israel eine große Bodenoffensive in Gaza starten, bis...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wird Israel eine große Bodenoffensive in Gaza starten, bis...?" ist „31. Dezember" mit 38%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 38% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „30. Juni" mit 16%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wird Israel eine große Bodenoffensive in Gaza starten, bis...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.