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Wird ein Kandidat die Vorwahl des republikanischen Senats von Texas direkt gewinnen?

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Wird ein Kandidat die Vorwahl des republikanischen Senats von Texas direkt gewinnen?

Ja

<1% chance
Polymarket

$34,440 Vol.

Ja

<1% chance
Polymarket

$34,440 Vol.

Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round, i.e., obtains an outright majority. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$34,440
Enddatum
Mar 3, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 4, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round, i.e., obtains an outright majority. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round, i.e., obtains an outright majority. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$34,440
Enddatum
Mar 3, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 4, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round, i.e., obtains an outright majority. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Wird ein Kandidat die Vorwahl des republikanischen Senats von Texas direkt gewinnen? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wird ein Kandidat die republikanische Senatsvorwahl in Texas direkt gewinnen?" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wird ein Kandidat die Vorwahl des republikanischen Senats von Texas direkt gewinnen? " has generated $34.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wird ein Kandidat die Vorwahl des republikanischen Senats von Texas direkt gewinnen? ," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Wird ein Kandidat die Vorwahl des republikanischen Senats von Texas direkt gewinnen? " is "Wird ein Kandidat die republikanische Senatsvorwahl in Texas direkt gewinnen?" at just 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Wird ein Kandidat die Vorwahl des republikanischen Senats von Texas direkt gewinnen? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.