**Katie Porter leads early polling for California's top-two gubernatorial primary on March 3, 2026**, with trader consensus on Polymarket implying strong odds for her advancement alongside either Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis or Attorney General Rob Bonta among Democrats, while Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco tops Republican contenders. Recent Emerson College polling shows Porter at 17-19%, boosted by her fundraising edge over $5 million, following Vice President Kamala Harris's October 2024 statement declining to run, which clarified the Democratic field. Gov. Gavin Newsom's lame-duck endorsements remain a key wildcard. Traders eye January 2026 filing deadlines and FEC reports for shifts, as national political winds post-2024 election favor bold progressives.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$144,454 Vol.
Eric Swalwell
72%
Steve Hilton
54%
Elaine Culotti
48%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
27%
Matt Mahan
25%
Katie Porter
17%
Xavier Becerra
8%
Betty Yee
7%
Sharifah Hardie
7%
Ché Ahn
6%
Tony Thurmond
6%
Ryan Tillman
5%
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Jimmy Parker
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
13%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Zoltan Istvan
2%
Brandon Jones
2%
Ramsey Robinson
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Ian Calderon
1%
Thunder Parley
1%
Butch Ware
1%
David Thelen
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
Ethan Agarwal
6%
$144,454 Vol.
Eric Swalwell
72%
Steve Hilton
54%
Elaine Culotti
48%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
27%
Matt Mahan
25%
Katie Porter
17%
Xavier Becerra
8%
Betty Yee
7%
Sharifah Hardie
7%
Ché Ahn
6%
Tony Thurmond
6%
Ryan Tillman
5%
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Jimmy Parker
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
13%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Zoltan Istvan
2%
Brandon Jones
2%
Ramsey Robinson
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Ian Calderon
1%
Thunder Parley
1%
Butch Ware
1%
David Thelen
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
Ethan Agarwal
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Katie Porter leads early polling for California's top-two gubernatorial primary on March 3, 2026**, with trader consensus on Polymarket implying strong odds for her advancement alongside either Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis or Attorney General Rob Bonta among Democrats, while Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco tops Republican contenders. Recent Emerson College polling shows Porter at 17-19%, boosted by her fundraising edge over $5 million, following Vice President Kamala Harris's October 2024 statement declining to run, which clarified the Democratic field. Gov. Gavin Newsom's lame-duck endorsements remain a key wildcard. Traders eye January 2026 filing deadlines and FEC reports for shifts, as national political winds post-2024 election favor bold progressives.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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