US and Israeli forces continue intensive airstrikes against Iranian nuclear facilities in Isfahan, industrial sites, and command infrastructure in Tehran as of March 28, marking the latest escalation in the four-week conflict that began with nearly 900 strikes on February 28 targeting Iran's missile and air defense systems. Iranian missile barrages on Israel and attacks injuring US troops at a Saudi base have prompted Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and the UAE to signal readiness for self-defense strikes on Iranian energy targets. UK, France, and Germany stated preparedness for defensive actions to neutralize Iranian drone and missile capabilities earlier this month. Diplomatic efforts, including a US proposal under review by Tehran, offer de-escalation potential before the March 31 deadline, though no ceasefire is confirmed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$10,268,978 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Saudi-Arabien
8%
VAE
6%
Katar
4%
Bahrain
2%
Kuwait
2%
Ein EU-Land
1%
Vereinigtes Königreich
1%
Jordanien
1%
Türkei
1%
Frankreich
1%
Oman
1%
Deutschland
<1%
Kanada
<1%
$10,268,978 Vol.
Saudi-Arabien
$2,069,851 Vol.
8%
VAE
$2,542,297 Vol.
6%
Katar
$929,065 Vol.
4%
Bahrain
$386,952 Vol.
2%
Kuwait
$208,348 Vol.
2%
Ein EU-Land
$453,715 Vol.
1%
Vereinigtes Königreich
$933,515 Vol.
1%
Jordanien
$184,755 Vol.
1%
Türkei
$470,216 Vol.
1%
Frankreich
$722,535 Vol.
1%
Oman
$128,245 Vol.
1%
Deutschland
$906,051 Vol.
<1%
Kanada
$333,472 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces continue intensive airstrikes against Iranian nuclear facilities in Isfahan, industrial sites, and command infrastructure in Tehran as of March 28, marking the latest escalation in the four-week conflict that began with nearly 900 strikes on February 28 targeting Iran's missile and air defense systems. Iranian missile barrages on Israel and attacks injuring US troops at a Saudi base have prompted Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and the UAE to signal readiness for self-defense strikes on Iranian energy targets. UK, France, and Germany stated preparedness for defensive actions to neutralize Iranian drone and missile capabilities earlier this month. Diplomatic efforts, including a US proposal under review by Tehran, offer de-escalation potential before the March 31 deadline, though no ceasefire is confirmed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Volumen
$10,268,978Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces continue intensive airstrikes against Iranian nuclear facilities in Isfahan, industrial sites, and command infrastructure in Tehran as of March 28, marking the latest escalation in the four-week conflict that began with nearly 900 strikes on February 28 targeting Iran's missile and air defense systems. Iranian missile barrages on Israel and attacks injuring US troops at a Saudi base have prompted Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and the UAE to signal readiness for self-defense strikes on Iranian energy targets. UK, France, and Germany stated preparedness for defensive actions to neutralize Iranian drone and missile capabilities earlier this month. Diplomatic efforts, including a US proposal under review by Tehran, offer de-escalation potential before the March 31 deadline, though no ceasefire is confirmed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,268,978Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli forces continue intensive airstrikes against Iranian nuclear facilities in Isfahan, industrial sites, and command infrastructure in Tehran as of March 28, marking the latest escalation in the four-week conflict that began with nearly 900 strikes on February 28 targeting Iran's missile and air defense systems. Iranian missile barrages on Israel and attacks injuring US troops at a Saudi base have prompted Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and the UAE to signal readiness for self-defense strikes on Iranian energy targets. UK, France, and Germany stated preparedness for defensive actions to neutralize Iranian drone and missile capabilities earlier this month. Diplomatic efforts, including a US proposal under review by Tehran, offer de-escalation potential before the March 31 deadline, though no ceasefire is confirmed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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