Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (81.3%), reflecting the absence of any scheduled bilateral summit amid stalled Ukraine peace negotiations. Following their August 2025 Alaska summit, planned October talks in Budapest collapsed after Russia rejected a U.S. ceasefire proposal to freeze front lines, prompting White House statements of no immediate plans. Recent diplomacy relies on U.S. envoys like Steve Witkoff's Kremlin visits and December meetings with Jared Kushner, while Trump pushes for a three-way summit with Zelensky before U.S. midterms and Russia expresses conditional hopes for new rounds. Low odds on locations like other EU countries (5.4%) echo prior Hungary considerations, but geopolitical frictions and unresolved territorial disputes sustain skepticism for leader-level engagement soon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 81.3%
Anderes EU-Land 5.4%
Vereinigte Staaten 2.5%
Russland 2.1%
$4,557,406 Vol.
$4,557,406 Vol.

Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
81%

Anderes EU-Land
5%

Vereinigte Staaten
2%

Russland
2%

Golfstaat
2%

Türkei
2%

China
2%

Andere
2%

Belarus
1%

Finnland
1%

Japan
<1%

Schweiz
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australien
<1%

Südkorea
<1%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 81.3%
Anderes EU-Land 5.4%
Vereinigte Staaten 2.5%
Russland 2.1%
$4,557,406 Vol.
$4,557,406 Vol.

Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
81%

Anderes EU-Land
5%

Vereinigte Staaten
2%

Russland
2%

Golfstaat
2%

Türkei
2%

China
2%

Andere
2%

Belarus
1%

Finnland
1%

Japan
<1%

Schweiz
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australien
<1%

Südkorea
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (81.3%), reflecting the absence of any scheduled bilateral summit amid stalled Ukraine peace negotiations. Following their August 2025 Alaska summit, planned October talks in Budapest collapsed after Russia rejected a U.S. ceasefire proposal to freeze front lines, prompting White House statements of no immediate plans. Recent diplomacy relies on U.S. envoys like Steve Witkoff's Kremlin visits and December meetings with Jared Kushner, while Trump pushes for a three-way summit with Zelensky before U.S. midterms and Russia expresses conditional hopes for new rounds. Low odds on locations like other EU countries (5.4%) echo prior Hungary considerations, but geopolitical frictions and unresolved territorial disputes sustain skepticism for leader-level engagement soon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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